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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (11350)	9/2/2004 9:31:01 PM
From: mishedlo	Respond to of 116555

Hugely positive is lot long term good for stocks Possibly a gap and crap. 150K right on the nose could soothe both stocks and bonds. the not much happens range is probably 125K-175K range Bonds and stocks probably both rally on a near miss like 125K M

To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (11350)	9/3/2004 12:56:59 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 116555

IMHO it will come as expected (more or less) which is quite bad news. JUst to maintain steady unemployment the economy must generate over 200,000 jobs based on population growth of about 0.9% a year contrary to Europe mostly Germany Benelux and Italy were population growth is close to ZERO. Any number below 200,000 is a soft employment market. Expectation are low and I think that the market is bracing for a weak #. My speculation is that the Birth/Death numbers will weight heavily to increase the new jobs # this month and next