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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Road Walker who wrote (200983)9/9/2004 7:46:40 AM
From: Yousef  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574663
 
John,

Re: "I'm not good at mathematical probabilities, but i'm sure the probability of
getting a tie at 269 votes each is much more likely than getting a tie at whatever
number of individual votes their are nationwide."

My point was if you used the popular vote and the election was close, then you
would have to re-count the entire country. The last election, they only had to
re-count in close states. So in a close election, the popular vote could
actually cause more problems and confusion.

Make It So,
Yousef



To: Road Walker who wrote (200983)9/9/2004 9:42:05 AM
From: i-node  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574663
 
I'm not good at mathematical probabilities, but i'm sure the probability of getting a tie at 269 votes each is much more likely than getting a tie at whatever number of individual votes their are nationwide.

So, you're thinking that a win by 1 popular vote is different than a loss by 1 popular vote? You think such a win is "statistically significant"? You think a win by 1 popular vote would be legitimate?

Obviously, probability and statistics, as you indicated, isn't your strong suit.

A win by one vote isn't significant. Meaningless. It could just as easily have been a loss by one vote, or a win by 100 votes or even 1000 or 10000.

Gore won the popular vote by 500,000 out of 105,000,000, or less than 0.5%. Meaningless. Could well be that if the errors were corrected Bush won the popular vote, as well.