SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Pastimes : Hurricane and Severe Weather Tracking -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: redfish who wrote (732)9/12/2004 8:46:57 AM
From: CalculatedRisk  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 26025
 
I can understand that guy's frustration. I've noticed that the NHC has started reminding people in their advisories that forecasting the track of a hurricane is not an exact science ... no kidding!

REPEATING THE REMINDER FROM THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...BEAR IN MIND
THAT 3-4 DAY TRACK FORECASTS ARE FAR FROM EXACT...SO THERE IS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY AS TO JUST WHEN AND WHERE IVAN WILL MAKE
LANDFALL IN THE UNITED STATES. AND INTENSITY FORECASTS ARE EVEN
LESS CERTAIN.
nhc.noaa.gov

The NHC has kept forecasting more of a turn to the North and Ivan has consistently moved more West than expected. After looking at the 5 AM forecast, I'm not even sure the eye will cross Cuba.

Last night they had the eye going right over Grand Cayman. That is not going to happen (thankfully), as Ivan is still moving more West than expected.

Heck, if Ivan doesn't turn more to the North soon, the Yucatan penisula is going to get hit.