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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: AC Flyer who wrote (53286)	9/13/2004 3:22:51 AM
From: EL KABONG!!!	Respond to of 74559

Hello AC Flyer, Interesting graphics... I really wasn't thinking so much of Chinese demographics when I somewhat randomly chose the time frame of 2015 - 2020... I was more thinking of politics and politicians (they're the same the world over, regardless of race, creed, color, gender or nationality), and I was guessing that the "string" runs out on the current Chinese policies somewhere 10 to 15 years down the road. By comparison, I think the USA will be coming up "short" somewhat sooner than that, and your suggestion of around 2012 (based on demographics) makes complete sense. I guess all of us will be tightening our collective belts in the not so distant future... KJC

To: AC Flyer who wrote (53286)	9/13/2004 10:43:13 AM
From: Steve Lokness	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

AC - a demographic recession? Might the US "depression" start long before 2012? Every day we see stories of unreliable SS and unaffordable health care cost. If the public starts to take this situation seriously, might they stop SPENDING on WalMart crap and bigger houses and start setting money aside? As I watch the news this morning on yet another airline filing bankruptcy, I can't help but think of the disposable income change between the old airline industry and the new startups. The difference in success is "wages"!! Well wages and benefits. As more companies are doing away with health care coverage and retirement - the worker then becomes responsible. If the wage earner gets less and has to pay for benefits before were covered - will this not effect discretionary spending? steve