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Politics : Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mephisto who wrote (48398)9/14/2004 2:37:12 PM
From: stockman_scottRespond to of 81568
 
Paying Lip Service to Latinos

americanprogressaction.org



To: Mephisto who wrote (48398)9/14/2004 3:25:38 PM
From: stockman_scottRespond to of 81568
 
NEWS: Bush-Kerry Race Tied As RNC Bounce Fades, New IBD Survey Shows
___________________________________

Monday September 13, 7:00 pm ET
Ibd Staff
biz.yahoo.com

In IBD/TIPP's first poll of likely voters, conducted Sept. 7-12, both men garnered 47% in a two-man race and 46% in a three-way race. In the latter scenario, independent Ralph Nader would take just 3% of the vote.

Among registered voters, Kerry holds a two-point edge over Bush, with or without Nader, the poll found.

For polls taken after Labor Day, pollsters consider "likely voters" a more accurate indicator of actual election outcomes.

IBD/TIPP defines likely voters as adult Americans who say they are very likely to vote in November, have a high level of interest in the presidential election and have voted in every or nearly every presidential election.

Other polls show Bush ahead by four to 11 points. The latest Zogby and Fox/Opinion Dynamics polls give Bush a four-point lead. He has a five-point lead in an AP/Ipsos poll and 11 points in the latest Time magazine survey.

"The boost Bush got during the RNC and the aura that surrounded an event marked by clever speeches and hitchless execution may be fading," said Raghavan Mayur, president of TIPP, a unit of TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence, IBD's polling partner.

Meanwhile, fresh questions have arisen about Bush's Vietnam-era National Guard service, though questions also have been raised about the authenticity of documents critical of Bush. Also, U.S. casualties in Iraq have surpassed 1,000, a milestone played up by major media. And Kerry has sharpened his attacks against Bush on Iraq and the economy.

While the candidates may be returning to a dead-even race, Bush still seems to have an edge.

"In close elections such as this, the intensity of candidate support is of utmost importance," Mayur said.

"Both Kerry and Bush have been successful in winning the allegiance of more and more of their respective party's traditional support base. However, the president has consistently drawn stronger support from his supporters than Sen. Kerry.

"Past elections have shown intensity of candidate support strongly influences voter turnout," he said.

IBD's poll shows Bush's intensity numbers are 25 percentage points above Kerry's 60%.

While Bush has locked up his party's loyalty, Kerry still has room to improve. Ninety-four percent of Republicans support Bush, while 83% of Democrats back Kerry.

Teflon President?

Despite heavy criticism from the Democratic campaign, anti-Bush independent groups such as Moveon.org, Michael Moore and much of Hollywood, Americans continue to view the president as a strong leader.

The IBD/TIPP Presidential Leadership Index for September rose 2 points, or 4%, to 50.9, back above the neutral 50 level for the first time since May.

The index includes results from all Americans, not just likely voters. It's made up of three components: a favorability rating, a job approval rating and a leadership score.

While all three components are up this month, the leadership gauge shot up 3.1 points, or 6%, to 56.5. That's the biggest gain since after Bush's 2004 State of the Union speech.

The poll also has good news for Kerry. Among independents, Kerry leads Bush by 10 points, 48%-38%. His lead is 12 points -- 51%-39% -- in battleground states.

Kerry also dominates among urban dwellers (60% vs. 31%), while Bush leads in the suburbs (54% vs. 40%) and rural areas (57% vs. 36%).

Among likely voters who are still feeling the sting of lost jobs or impending job losses, Kerry has a 2-to-1 edge (61% vs. 32%). Investors back Bush 50%-40%, but noninvestors favor Kerry by 15 points.

The zeitgeist still points to a Bush victory. Some 48% of those polled foresee Bush retaking the White House, while only 16% think Kerry will win. Another third (31%) feel the race is too close to call.



To: Mephisto who wrote (48398)9/14/2004 3:35:17 PM
From: stockman_scottRespond to of 81568
 
Edwards compares Bush to Kenneth Lay, says he's 'going to be fired'
_________________________

By LIZ SIDOTI
Associated Press Writer
Tuesday, September 14, 2004

Democrat John Edwards compared President Bush to former Enron Corp. chairman Kenneth Lay on Tuesday and predicted Bush "is going to be fired" by voters for the way he has run the country.

Lay, a Bush friend and campaign contributor, resigned under pressure after the giant energy company's collapse and has pleaded innocent to charges of fraud, conspiracy and false statements to banks.

The Democrats' vice presidential candidate assailed the potential cost of Bush policies in a second term and said of the president: "I think he believes that he's Ken Lay and America is his Enron. The truth of the matter is that what happens when a CEO runs a company the way that George Bush has run America, they get fired.

"And that's exactly what's going to happen. George Bush is going to be fired by the American people."

The North Carolina senator, running mate to Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry, made his remarks while accepting the endorsements of more than 30 chief executive officers of outdoor equipment companies, including Patagonia, Columbia and Cascade Designs, before a town hall meeting in a suburb of Portland.

On the last part of a swing through the West, Edwards was spending the day campaigning in a state that Al Gore won by less than one percentage point in 2000. Polls show Kerry leading in the state this year.

Edwards said the Bush campaign has criticized possible costs of Kerry's proposals while hiding the potential costs of its own.

"They will say just about anything," Edwards said of Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney. "What they don't want people to know is that they're proposing another $3 trillion in spending and they have absolutely no way to pay for it."

"The truth is they want to make sure that their friends, particularly their friends in places like Halliburton, are well taken care of," Edwards said, a reference to the company once led by Cheney. "But they're going to attach $3 trillion of additional debt onto our children and onto our grandchildren."

Brian Jones, a Bush campaign spokesman, dismissed Edwards' comments as "flailing, baseless attacks." He added: "They're trying to hid the fact that they have not put forth a plan for paying for their own proposals."

On the campaign trail, Bush often claims that the Kerry-Edwards plan would cost $2 trillion. The Democrats' campaign disputes the figure, arguing that the Kerry-Edwards health care and education proposals would be paid for by rolling back tax cuts for the wealthiest 2 percent of Americans.

sfgate.com