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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: michael97123 who wrote (145670)9/15/2004 2:31:13 PM
From: one_less  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
The sunnis, if left to their limited resources of the region, would likely be over run. It is more likely that hordes of sunni muhajideen would flood into the region when the US pulled out. They look at Palestine like we remember the Alamo and this would be yet another battle cry for the Caliphate, one that does not have a superpower like Israel to contend with.



To: michael97123 who wrote (145670)9/15/2004 2:50:08 PM
From: jttmab  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
Shiaa insurgency does exist witness al sadr but it has different goals. Sunni insurgency is a mixture of varietys of islamist terrorism, baathism and nationalism. The Shiaa wants the US off their back and a right to run their own affairs under an iran like, lighter mullocracy. Sistani and al sadr somehow coexist in this scenario. ...

All valid possibilities. I can't judge the odds. But I will say those are possibilities that need to be considered and resolved before you set foot in Iraq. Unfortunately, it's a little late for that.

The dilemna is that we can't stay, because they won't let us and we can't leave because of what might happen. But we'll have no other choice but to leave.

jttmab