To: upanddown who wrote (1169 ) 9/29/2004 1:20:06 AM From: American Spirit Respond to of 1904 Kerry can win. Look at this. In the AP study, 1,329 people were first interviewed Aug. 31 to Sept. 2 and then re-interviewed Sept. 21-27. In the initial screening, 18 percent said they didn't know who would get their vote, with the rest evenly split between leaning Kerry or leaning Bush. The followup interviews found that 13 percent of the 1,329 had become committed to Bush and 11 percent to Kerry. Of the 937 persuadable voters remaining, 58 percent said it was a mistake to go to war against Iraq. By contrast, polls of all likely voters show that less than half think the war was a mistake. Many persuadable voters echoed Kerry's accusation that Bush let Iraq distract from the global war on terror. "It seems Osama crawled away and nothing was said about it," said Joy Phillips, 52, of Jacksonville, Fla. But they favored Bush over Kerry on the question of who would best handle the situation in Iraq, 52 percent to 41 percent, roughly the same as all likely voters. There was some hope for Kerry in one subsection of the 937 persuadable voters. Among the purely undecideds (about 22 percent): _ Kerry was slightly favored over Bush on who would best handle Iraq, with more than one-fifth of undecided voters not choosing either candidate. That suggests many undecided voters are withholding judgment, perhaps until the three debates that begin Thursday. _ They favor change more than voters leaning toward Bush or Kerry, with 54 percent saying it's worth the risk of swapping leaders in uncertain times. "I would like to hear the debate because I'm hoping when I listen to Kerry he will tell me what his plans are" for Iraq, said Wanda Ramsey, an Owasso, Okla., retiree who had had leaned toward Kerry but is now undecided. Among all persuadable voters — the undecided and the leaners — Bush has a lead of 40 percentage points on the question of who would best protect the nation.