SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: michael97123 who wrote (146562)9/29/2004 10:10:00 AM
From: Neocon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
Actually, the polling data is not as you portray it. Yes, some polls show regret at the action against Saddam, but within the margin of error, suggesting a strong tie. Others continue to support the decision. For example, the Pew Research Center, which is highly respected, shows 54% to 39%, favoreable/unfavorable, about the invasion, as of September 13th. Towards the beginning of September, Newsweek had a split of 55% favorable, 38% unfavorable. In the just released ABC News/ Washington Post poll, it is a statistical tie on going in in the first place, but the question "Do you think the war with Iraq has or has not contributed to the long-term security of the United States?" recieved a "has" answer of 54%, with a "has not" answer of 42%!

pollingreport.com

In job approval, the latest Gallup poll has him at 54% favorable, 44% unfavorable. The latest Washington Post poll has him at 50%/45%. The latest Time poll shows him 53%/43%.

pollingreport.com

I agree that he will have to address the problems forthrightly. I caution you, however, that how he sees the matter might differ from how you want him to treat it........



To: michael97123 who wrote (146562)9/29/2004 10:38:13 AM
From: Neocon  Respond to of 281500
 
Are the Terrorists Failing?

By David Ignatius
Tuesday, September 28, 2004; Page A27

Looking at the gruesome images of beheadings and suicide bombings in Iraq, it's easy to think that the Islamic holy warriors are winning. But a new book by a distinguished French Arabist named Gilles Kepel argues the opposite case. For all the mayhem the jihadists have caused, he contends, their movement is failing.

Rather than waging a successful jihad against the West, the followers of Osama bin Laden have created chaos and destruction in the house of Islam. This internal crisis is known in Arabic as fitna: "It has an opposite and negative connotation from jihad," explains Kepel. "It signifies sedition, war in the heart of Islam, a centrifugal force that threatens the faithful with community fragmentation, disintegration and ruin."

Kepel was in Washington last week promoting his book, and his comments provided a useful antidote to the political debate surrounding the visit by Iraq's interim prime minister, Ayad Allawi. The struggle against Islamist terrorism is neither the rosy success story painted by Allawi and President Bush nor the disastrous free-fall described by John Kerry. Instead, it is one unresolved battle in the long-term struggle summarized by the title of Kepel's new book, "The War for Muslim Minds."

The French scholar argues that the West has been misreading the aftermath of bin Laden's Sept. 11, 2001, attacks. He cites a December 2001 pamphlet, "Knights Under the Prophet's Banner," written by al Qaeda's key strategist, the Egyptian doctor Ayman Zawahiri. The jihadists should attack the "faraway enemy" in the United States, Zawahiri urged, because it would help mobilize the Muslim masses to overthrow their rulers in the "nearby enemy."

Kepel believes that the United States has stumbled badly in Iraq, and he's sharply critical of U.S. policies there. But that doesn't mean the jihadists are winning. Quite the contrary, their movement has backfired. Rather than bringing Islamic regimes to power, the holy warriors are creating internal strife and discord. Their actions are killing far more Muslims than nonbelievers.

"The principal goal of terrorism -- to seize power in Muslim countries through mobilization of populations galvanized by jihad's sheer audacity -- has not been realized," Kepel writes. In fact, bin Laden's followers are losing ground: The Taliban regime in Afghanistan has been toppled; the fence-sitting semi-Islamist regime in Saudi Arabia has taken sides more strongly with the West; Islamists in Sudan and Libya are in retreat; and the plight of the Palestinians has never been more dire. And Baghdad, the traditional seat of the Muslim caliphs, is under foreign occupation. Not what you would call a successful jihad.

Kepel argues that the insurgents' brutal tactics in Iraq -- the kidnappings and beheadings, and the car-bombing massacres of young Iraqi police recruits -- are increasingly alienating the Muslim masses. No sensible Muslim would want to live in Fallujah, which is now controlled by Taliban-style fanatics. Similarly, the Muslim masses can see that most of the dead from post-Sept. 11 al Qaeda bombings in Turkey and Morocco were fellow Muslims.

A perfect example of how the jihadists' efforts have backfired, argues Kepel, was last month's kidnapping of two French journalists in Iraq. The kidnappers announced that they would release their hostages only if the French government reversed its new policy banning Muslim women from wearing headscarves in French public schools. "They imagined that they would mobilize Muslims with this demand, but French Muslims were aghast and denounced the kidnappers," Kepel explained to a Washington audience. He noted that French Muslims took to the streets to protest against the kidnappers and to proclaim their French citizenship.

Kepel believes that the war for Muslim minds may hinge most of all on these European Muslims. In countries such as France, Britain and Germany, large Muslim populations are living in secular, democratic societies. All the tensions and contradictions of the larger Muslim world are compressed into the lives of these European Muslims, but they're free to let the struggle play out in open debate. Thus, it's in Europe that Islam may finally find its accommodation with modern life.

Perhaps it takes an outsider -- a Frenchman, even -- to help Americans see the war on terrorism in perspective. Saturated in terrorism alerts and images of violence from Iraq, Americans may miss the essential fact that the terrorists are losing. And because we see this as a war against America, rather than one within Islam, we may miss the real dynamics.

When Americans ponder the right strategy for Iraq, they need to ask, with Kepel, whether U.S. policies will help those seeking to modernize Islam or hurt them. A precipitous withdrawal, leaving the field to the jihadists, would be a disaster. But so would a bloody and unending occupation. Kepel reminds us, too, that the best counterattack against the jihadists would be to revive the Israeli-Palestinian peace process.

washingtonpost.com



To: michael97123 who wrote (146562)9/29/2004 10:50:38 AM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
Graydon Carter Shows How Bush Makes Lies Seem True, and Just What We've Lost on Bush's Watch

A BUZZFLASH INTERVIEW

Like so many others, Graydon Carter reached a point where he had had enough. As editor of Vanity Fair and a seasoned journalist, he took a stand. His magazine has run three stories this year, totaling 75,000 words, on the Bush agenda and the careless havoc it has wreaked worldwide. Carter also came out with the polished and persuasive tome, What We've Lost, a BuzzFlash premium.

Here he explains why and comments on how Bush continues to get away with it. As he sees it, the Bush campaign has eliminated policy issues and distilled this presidential election down to: Do you like this guy or do you like that guy?

Graydon Carter also is executive producer of the award-winning documentary 9/11, the father of four, and a New Yorker.

* * *

BuzzFlash: Many people are surprised that you, the editor in chief of Vanity Fair, have taken such a strong critical position of the Bush administration. Most of the mainstream press has avoided casting a critical light, or publishing the sort of truthful exposés that have appeared in your magazine. Explain to us how Vanity Fair, which isn’t a political magazine per se, offers perhaps the most scathing critiques of the Bush administration.

Graydon Carter: I think it began in the build-up to the war in Iraq, which I saw as both optional and potentially destructive, and its elements unnecessary, at least at that time. The reports from the weapons inspectors said there were no weapons of mass destruction. Saddam Hussein was not a credible threat to us at that point, nor was he an active enemy of ours at that point. And all the tension that was dragged away from Afghanistan made that area of the world even more of a terrorist breeding ground. Furthermore, Saddam Hussein had no connection to the terrorists of September 11, and no major connection to terrorism at all.

BuzzFlash: Many people forget this, but during the build-up to the Iraq war, critics pointed out that the inspectors hadn’t found any weapons of mass destruction and called for restraint until WMDs were found. But the administration’s response was that since the inspectors couldn’t find WMDs, it was proof that Saddam was only hiding them.

Graydon Carter: Everything is counter-intuitive in this administration. I try to maintain a centrist line in our reporting. We did probably 20 stories on the Clintons, and I don’t think they liked one of them. But I thought the decision to invade Iraq was made at a critical juncture. Since I have a platform, I thought I would speak my mind, because I felt very strongly about the build-up to the war. I felt that it could have ramifications not only for years, but for decades potentially.

BuzzFlash: In your new book, one of the statements that jumped out was this quote of yours early on that begins: “That reckless, unnecessary and unforgiving decision to wage a war of choice with a country that was neither an enemy nor a real threat is at the very root of all that we’ve lost during George W. Bush’s Presidency.”Although your book talks about the environment, the economy, the judicial system and health care, the decision to invade Iraq is the epitome of how this country is fundamentally going in the wrong direction in your view.

Graydon Carter: There’s probably nothing more serious that you can do as a leader than to take your country into war. And to take your country into war on a bone pile of false assumptions, without any clear sort of strategy for maintaining the country after you’ve taken it over, or managing it toward a democratic state, is irresponsible. The administration used the war as a diversion so that the domestic agenda received very little attention during the half-year building up to the war, and the year since. The thing now is Americans basically have almost moved on from the war in Iraq. Iraq plays almost no part in this presidential campaign.

BuzzFlash: Did you anguish over the decision to list the names of the American soldiers who died in Iraq, as well as listing the names of soldiers from other countries?

Graydon Carter: No. To me, it’s the most powerful thing in the whole book because it is what war looks like. When you look at those names and those ages, and they are from all different ethnic groups and religions of America, those young kids, some older people, it’s even more horrifying. It was like a printed version of the Vietnam Memorial. When I look at that, I think: God, that could be my kid.

BuzzFlash: In deciding to print the names, was part of the reason not only to honor the soldiers that died in the war, but also a response to the Bush administration’s refusal to present photographs of flag-draped coffins coming home or attend ceremonies for soldiers who have died in combat -- essentially avoiding any kind of visual accountability for the true cost of the war?

Graydon Carter: Completely. The New York Times ran a double-page spread recently of photographs of the war dead, and Ted Koppel did it on the one-year anniversary. Last December as I recall, Vanity Fair listed the names of some 800 soldiers who were killed, and I thought it looked powerful to visualize what those numbers really meant and that we were talking about lives. I also thought it was important to list the number of coalition soldiers who have died. All of a sudden, you realize a thousand great Americans have lost their lives on a war that did not necessarily have to be fought, when they could have been sent to Afghanistan to fight an authentic war on terrorism.

BuzzFlash: The book is broken down into several chapters per subject. What would you say are the most significant losses to the environment under the Bush administration?

Graydon Carter: It’s so broad. From the first day they got into office, the administration began a series of rollbacks or eliminations altogether of environmental protections, some of which were coming on board, and some of which have been on the books for 30 years. These protections have been fought over so hard by environmentalists over these last three decades.

In any case, where the Bush administration had a choice between the basic commonweal of America or their largest group of campaign donors -- the oil, logging, drilling and gas industries -- they chose their campaign donors almost every single time. The ramifications for the environment are so far-reaching. The international treaties we’ve broken, such as Kyoto, have left the entire planet imperiled because America cannot or will not carry its load on reducing greenhouse emissions. It’s then very hard to expect developing countries to.

BuzzFlash: While writing and researching the book, what incident or statistic unnerved you the most?

Graydon Carter: Well, there were two things. We all follow the Supreme Court, but I rarely follow the developments of the federal courts below. The Supreme Court hears a hundred-odd cases a year, and the federal courts -- the series of courts right below it -- hear upwards of 30,000 cases. And those things can range from environmental issues, to workers’rights, to minority rights, to women’s rights. They have every bit as much impact on our daily lives as the major decisions by the Supreme Court. What the Bush administration has done is pack those courts with right-wing jurists who can serve for life. So, long after Bush is out of office, a conservative and right-wing federal judiciary will still be with us.

The other thing that I found most upsetting was the fact that we sent young men and young women off to war in that rushed campaign to get into Iraq. We sent them ill-equipped, with not enough Kevlar vests to protect soldiers from the rounds of an AK-47. About half the soldiers in Iraq had those, and the other half had Vietnam-era flack jackets, which are way out of date. Only 15 percent of the soldiers had armored Humvees.

I think that when you send people into combat, A), you’ve got to make the right choices of why you’re going in there, and B), you’ve got to make sure they are equipped with the most modern gear humanly possible.

BuzzFlash: The administration has been able to turn that against Senator Kerry, saying he voted against giving our soldiers armor and protective clothing, when really the issue was that Bush didn’t supply it to the troops in the first place.

Graydon Carter: Exactly. Also, the administration is brilliant at rhetoric. They can make white seem black very easily to the voters. The fact is that this presidential election is basically not about the issues. It’s about: Do you like this guy or do you like that guy? Is this guy going to make you feel safer, or is that guy going to make you feel safer? It’s very little about who’s the best steward of the economy or the environment, or any of the other issues that the federal government is responsible for.

BuzzFlash: Since you are the editor of a mainstream magazine, how do you respond to the ridiculous notion that the press has a liberal bias? Do you just tune it out now?

Graydon Carter: No. I don’t detect a liberal bias in the press at all. The BBC did a study of commentators on the three major networks in the months leading up to the war, and they found that of 800-odd commentators, only four were anti-war. The Republicans are very good at making the press cower a bit. And the press bends over backwards so far not to be perceived as liberal that they’re either in the center or they’re very agreeable to the far right.

BuzzFlash: Why do you think that more journalists and editors aren’t offended by the way the Republican Party and the right wing essentially challenge the media by their assertions that there is a liberal bias in the mainstream press.

Graydon Carter: Well, first of all, I think that increasingly large chunks of popular media are owned by fewer and fewer people. That is probably a problem. Secondly, I think that the administration was very crafty in labeling any kind of dissent after September 11 as the work of the unpatriotic. A lot of journalists got into trouble for saying anything that wasn’t actually in line with the Republican wishes at that time. I think now the press is slowly beginning to take a far more skeptical view of the Republican administration.

BuzzFlash: You mentioned earlier that there’s not a discussion about who is more qualified to be a steward of the economy or who is more capable on other issues. How do you explain the polls that show that Americans agree with you and your book -- that we’re heading in the wrong direction -- but nonetheless, Bush is slightly leading in the polls? Do you think it’s mass ignorance? Is it mass disinformation? Is it mass apathy? Is it just that Americans don’t know the truth?

Graydon Carter: I think George Bush is one of the great campaigners in modern history. I think he’s very good at marshalling whatever talents he has toward presenting an image of a man with a more common touch than John Kerry. On the other hand for John Kerry, it’s very hard to be the opponent in an election where issues don’t even appear on the table. Some of the issues may come up in the debate. But I have yet to see George Bush talk about the economy other than we’re coming around the corner or prosperity is dead ahead. The cost to the American public from the tax cuts, and the fact that there are obviously enormous trade imbalances, and there’s now an enormous budget deficit, matters very little. The fact is that we are well on our way in this country toward a flat tax, which even in its nomenclature, sounds like something that’s fair for all. It’s completely not fair, and it will squeeze the middle class. But again you’re not hearing discussion about these issues that contradict the Bush administration’s policies.

BuzzFlash: It’ll certainly be crucial for both candidates to make their case to the American people during the debates. Any time Bush is criticized, he’ll dismiss or rebut the criticism, calling it negative campaigning or a slime tactic. Do you think the general public can see the difference between sharp criticism on someone’s record vs. negative campaigning? What about your book? Will people see it as a hatchet job on the Bush administration?

Graydon Carter: I’m not aligned with John Kerry. I’m probably more in the center, like a lot of Americans -- liberal on some issues, conservative on others. I mean, I’m 55 you know -- I’m not a 25-year-old anymore. I think you could do a similar book on the Clinton administration, actually. It would be probably not as harsh, but it certainly would not be positive. There were a lot of things the Clinton administration could have done, but didn’t because they got enveloped in the scandal in the second term. I think the Bush administration might have some surprises that they are not prepared for if Bush gets a second term, as well.

BuzzFlash: Would you say that journalism needs to figure out a way to catch up with how political parties run their operations on a day-to-day basis? It seems that one of the problems is that somebody says something -- maybe it’s dishonest or out of context -- nonetheless, newspapers go ahead and print those assertions and then rely on other spokespeople or the opposition, whoever that is, to essentially rebuff the arguments made. Newspapers will print a lie just because some talking head said it, as opposed to not running the story and peddling the lie to begin with.

Graydon Carter: Paul Krugman, in one of his columns, wrote about “the tyranny of evenhandedness”-- that evenhandedness treats all comments coming out of either camp with the same degree of importance. And not all comments are worthy comments. I think the one thing this election has done is completely and utterly legitimized the Internet. If I were a young journalist now, that’s where I would focus. I would think that is where you can write your piece, say your mind, and possibly make a name for yourself, because it’s faster than newspapers. It is more free-flowing. I think people who read things on the Internet are more open to new ideas than they are from newspapers and magazines or television. And I think that it basically added a complete other level of media coverage that will be three times as powerful and influential the next go-around.

BuzzFlash: Do you believe that media is even more powerful than elected officials, in the sense that media allows lawmakers and politicians the ability to get their message across?

Graydon Carter: It depends. I think that there’s a lot of media, and basically it operates almost like a utility now-- it’s not as examining as it used to be. Up until 15 years ago, there were federal doctrines of fairness -- you had to present the news in a balanced manner. I think the media, specifically television, has contributed to this divisiveness in American politics because if you watch any political show, they don’t want people who have moderate views, or are in the middle, or can see both sides of a situation. They want somebody from either the far right or the far left, and then they set them off like two gladiators.

Because of that, I think Americans at large have become just as fixed in their own sort of thinking and in their own private discussions. People feel very strongly about George Bush or very strongly against George Bush. I think a certain aspect of political punditry has contributed to that over the years. Remember Eric Severeid on CBS News? They used to call him Eric Several-Sides, because he could talk about an issue and give both sides and wrap it up in a three-minute piece of commentary. I think you miss that on the nightly news and on the evening political shows.

BuzzFlash: What’s been the response of your Vanity Fair readers with respect to your reporting on the Bush administration? Are people seeking those stories out because they’re not finding them in other publications? How has your reporting played with the demographic that the rest of the magazine reports to?

Graydon Carter: When I started doing this, the mail against me ran three to one. Now it’s running about even. I’ve found that the readers absolutely love the stories we’ve done, and in the next issue, we have this huge story called “The Path to 9/11.”So we will have done three stories this year totaling about 75,000 words. You take these large subjects and put them in a narrative form that can help explain the complex issues of our age -- I think the readers appreciate that. I think being older, some readers would just as soon I not write about the Bush administration. After this election, I’ve said everything I can say, and it’s time to move on and just cover it the way we covered it before the war, which is some things they’re going to be doing right, and some things they’re going to be doing wrong.

BuzzFlash: Mr. Carter, thank you so much for your time.

Graydon Carter: Great pleasure.

A BUZZFLASH INTERVIEW

buzzflash.com