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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: nigel bates who wrote (13248)9/30/2004 3:38:13 PM
From: zeta1961  Respond to of 52153
 
Thanx Nigel..I thought Norvasc was Norvatis's drug..hmm..

Binary events continued..thanks all who posted about these yesterday..

Special thanks to rkrw and j.d. for adequate notice<g>

INGN

Message 20585711

I know most of you think I'm a bit loca for being bullish this one..but as I tell Bernard: with the 28% float short, a CEO who so does not appreciate it<g>...8:01 pm arrives qday<g>

PS..thorough, factual presentation at USB this week..happy to discuss further at the lonely INGN thread..

Zeta



To: nigel bates who wrote (13248)9/30/2004 5:10:18 PM
From: Biomaven  Respond to of 52153
 
<top selling drugs>

A couple of comments on those:

Zocor $4.4b - off patent end of 2005

Zyprexa $3.2b - patent challenge coming up.

Prevacid $4.0b
Nexium $3.1b
Protonix $1.8b

About $10b of drugs that are really no better than omeprazole. I think the insurers shot themselves in the foot asking for omeprazole to go OTC - they would have been better off paying for generic omeprazole.

Norvasc - patent expires in 2007

Zoloft - patent expires in 2006

Plavix - patent under serious attack

Pravachol - patent hasn't that long to run

Neurontin - Ivax has just launched a non-equivalent generic at risk. Patent has a few years to run.

I'm sure I've missed some patent expirations/challenges - these are just the ones off the top of my head.

A pretty sorry collection.

Peter



To: nigel bates who wrote (13248)9/30/2004 8:26:48 PM
From: Ray Rueb  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52153
 
Procrit and Epogen are the same drug, both made by AMGN


4. Procrit, $3.3 billion, anemia, Johnson & Johnson

6. Epogen, $3.1 billion, anemia, Amgen Inc.


Both products are the same drug (Epoetin Alpha) manufactured by AMGN.

Procrit is marketed by Johnson & Johnson because Amgen was a struggling Biotech and needed $300+ MM to bring Epoetin Alpha to market. In exchange J&J got a $5 bln a year market for anemia in cancer and Amgen got the $3 bln a year market for anemia in dialysis.

Oh, yeah - AMGN also got the opportunity to become the number one biotech company.

You all be careful out there
Ray