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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Biomaven who wrote (13371)10/6/2004 10:43:27 PM
From: former_pgs  Respond to of 52153
 
If Stellar 3 is a big success, the stock could go above $16 given that right now there appears to be considerable skepticism on the street

I certainly agree this is a possibility. CTIC is a tough one, in my opinion, because there are very reasonable scenarios for the optimist and the realist following Stellar 3 success.

The realist side of me says that approval based on Stellar 3 would bring with it a label restrictive to PS2 patients that could temper sales estimates and enthusiasm, if that's the street's whim. However, many could view the success in Stellar 3 optimistically as a good omen for the other Stellar trials which are also showing a slower than expected event rate. That raises the roof on valuation. You be the judge! :-)