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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: LindyBill who wrote (75621)	10/7/2004 11:19:00 PM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793964

Good summary from Kerry Spot My guess is that the Bushies are reasonably confidant that they will hold all the states they held in 2000 except New Hampshire, Colorado and Ohio without much effort (which Kerry thinks he can pick up). But, on the other hand, he can hold Florida and likely pick up Iowa and probably Wisconsin (which Kerry is worried that he will lose), and possibly one EV from Maine. Suppose all of this breaks against Bush. Suppose he loses PA, OH, CO, NH, WI, ME. He holds FL and picks up IA. That would put the final EV count at 254. We should call that Dubya's floor. There are lots and lots of different things Dubya could do here to get to 270. It would be pretty easy. A hold in OH. A pick-up of PA. A pick up of NH (4 EV's) and WI (11 EV's) and ME (1 EV). A pick-up of WI (11 EV's) and a hold of CO (9 EV's). On the other hand, Kerry's floor is 229. Kerry has to do a lot more than Dubya to get to 270. This is where the real race is, people. It is not in that AP-IPSOS poll!

To: LindyBill who wrote (75621)	10/7/2004 11:43:23 PM
From: Ilaine	Respond to of 793964

>>Climate of Fear We are not putting up signs this year. I tore my bumper stickers off after my husband's car was vandalized - he has an NRA bumper sticker. He's not taking that off, even after losing his rear window to a golf club (head of club found in rear compartment). He's stubborn. ;^) ABB people are loonies. I've already posted about someone observing, upon reading my "Support Our Troops" sticker that I was "the enemy."

To: LindyBill who wrote (75621)	10/8/2004 1:18:54 AM
From: Captain Jack	Respond to of 793964

<Climate of Fear> I look at it more of the possibility of having a dem arrested for tresspassing, vandalism, etc. Additionally, the dog has been sleeping on the porch-- doubtful any one wants to fight him for the sign. Oh-- I still keep that concealed carry permit and the wheelgun is always loaded. If they feel their health is worth my signs or stickers I may get some exorcize. I'll never start trouble--heh, heh, heh... I have a motto I live by; If there is any F---ing going on, I'll not be the F--kee.