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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Alan Smithee who wrote (76318)	10/10/2004 6:50:39 PM
From: Ilaine	Respond to of 793755

Yeah, and Zogby has Kerry ahead, too. The other polls show Bush roughly 50-46. WashPost/ABC has Bush 51. I am using these guys: realclearpolitics.com dalythoughts.com

To: Alan Smithee who wrote (76318)	10/10/2004 6:55:34 PM
From: Andrew N. Cothran	Respond to of 793755

Electoral College Projections Based Upon Most Recent Rasmussen Reports Survey Data and Election 2000 Results Electoral College 2004 Projected Bush 240 Kerry 179 Toss up 119 Total 538 RasmussenReports.com October 10, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projection shows George W. Bush with 240 Electoral Votes and John Kerry with 179. There are now ten states with 119 Electoral Votes in the Toss-Up category. Today, John Kerry gains back ten Electoral Votes and Maryland moves back to "Leans Kerry." This is a state that Democrats should win and was moved to Toss-Up status just prior to the first Presidential debate. At that time, our survey found Kerry's lead in Maryland had eroded to three points. Last week, one of the most significant moves in our projection took place when we moved Florida from Toss-Up Status to Leans Bush. In our daily Tracking Poll provided to Premium Members, Bush has consistently been ahead by at least five percentage points. Over the past week, Kerry has gained ground in Michigan, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania. But, none have moved enough at the moment to shift out of Toss-Up status. To review our most recent state-by-state projection, click HERE. The 240 Electoral Votes projected for Bush is his highest total of the year. He has been at 213 since the Republican National Convention.