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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (643540)	10/12/2004 11:06:15 PM
From: Mr. Palau	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769670

It's a trend that's going to continue after tomorrow nights shellacking on domestic issues. The independents and undecideds will continue to break strongly for Kerry. GW has never been a strong closer, and he is fading like a cheap paint job in this election.

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (643540)	10/12/2004 11:10:15 PM
From: Mr. Palau	Respond to of 769670

Take a look at this. Looks like the stock market after GW became President. econ.umn.edu

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (643540)	10/12/2004 11:23:30 PM
From: Mr. Palau	Respond to of 769670

"Here are some key state polls: Pennsylania: Kerry 46, Bush 43 (Quinnipiac) New Jersey: Kerry 53, Bush 44 (Rasmussen)" politicalwire.com

To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (643540)	10/13/2004 1:46:37 AM
From: DuckTapeSunroof	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769670

If that's true, and holds (OH +4), then remember the analysis of RealClearPolitics.com: "If Kerry loses PA or MI he loses." <Seems ahead for now in both around or slightly above the margin of error....> "If Bush loses any one of AZ, CO, TN or AR he loses." <Seems ahead in all with the one exception of CO... and I'd argue that --- if the ballot option passes --- a 5/4 split of electoral votes in CO is likely, and thus either way that splits might not result in a Bush loss... so I disagree with RealClear on that one State's potential disqualifying effect.> "Bush has to win both FL and OH to win. Kerry simply has to win either FL or OH. If Kerry does not win either FL or OH, he has very little chance of becoming President." So... polls in FL and OH would seem to be the most important things right about now... and of course, CO & PA... (and WI & IA :)