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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: redfish who wrote (60125)	10/13/2004 11:57:11 AM
From: Karen Lawrence	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 89467

Yikes! That's terrible. latest battleground state stats: Iowa Bush 47 Kerry 45 Minnesota Kerry 45 Bush 43 Ohio Kerry 49 Bush 45 Wisconsin Kerry 47 Bush 43 dailykos.com

To: redfish who wrote (60125)	10/13/2004 2:50:48 PM
From: stockman_scott	Respond to of 89467

I found this interesting analysis from pollster John Zogby (from the SwingState Project site)... Asked what to make of the polls: "I think that there is basically something that's bigger than Kerry and bigger than Bush. It's two equal-size warring nations going into this election. So each guy has 47 percent just for showing up and loses a couple of points here and there for whatever reason, de-energizing part of his base, but no matter which way you look at it, whether it's 3 to 5 points one way or 3 to 5 the other way, it's a very close election." More Zogby: "There's about 5 percent out there hard-core undecideds. ... They seem to have made up their minds about President Bush. Only 12 percent now as of last night among undecideds said the president deserves to be re-elected. Forty percent of them say it's time for someone new, but there's something missing. John Kerry has yet to close the deal. If he's able to close the deal, he'll win. If not, undecideds will not show up to vote, and the president will win" ("Lou Dobbs Tonight," CNN, 10/12).