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Technology Stocks : WDC/Sandisk Corporation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Pam who wrote (26792)10/14/2004 11:51:47 AM
From: Cooters  Respond to of 60323
 
Pam,

Hedge Funds use SNDK as a trading vehicle to magnify the volatility of the SOXX, which is in turn more volatile than the NASDAQ, again more volatile than the general market. All moves are going to be larger than the fundamentals would indicate since it is their favorite little toy.

We just need to use that to our advantage, or at least try.

Cooters



To: Pam who wrote (26792)10/14/2004 2:36:52 PM
From: rjk01  Respond to of 60323
 
Pam for right now you might be better off with m-sys (CC Oct 29 I think).



To: Pam who wrote (26792)10/14/2004 3:08:53 PM
From: slacker711  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 60323
 
Sandisk's best q in terms of Mbit shipments growth q-over-q has been 40-50% and we need to do 90% Mbit growth this q over the most recent one to make the 515mm rev target (midpoint of 500-530)! I wouldn't say impossible but pretty daunting task, if I may say so. Unless of course the prices firm-up and that can mean higher revs for lower Mbits (seems unlikely though, the way Samsung has played its cards)! Where is the price elasticity when we need it??

My guess is that price elasticity in the DSC market is starting to slow....and we are just beginning to hit price points where NAND flash works for MP3 players. Sort of a gap in the demand side of the equation. Hopefully, that is at least part of the reason for what Sandisk is trying to do....cut prices hard to try and move the MP3 market towards NAND. This is just my own personal benchmark, but I see having 2GB flash based MP3 players available for less than $200 as really starting to move the market.

On the handset side, it seems like retail sales are still slow....though I see this as just a matter of time. At some point during the call, they mentioned how many handsets would be coming to market with Transflash and it was quite a bit more than I expected. Anyone remember the number?

Slacker