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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: SirWalterRalegh who wrote (77600)10/14/2004 5:52:40 PM
From: SBHX  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 793838
 
The polls swing so much daily, I'm beginning to wonder whether there is some trickery involved on both sides. If you're into reading tea leaves, realclearpolitics.com has a running 7day averaging of all the polls.

Frankly, as others pointed out, I think the wild swings are extremely suspicious --- especially the ones that have 3 day averaging, think of it, a 5% swing on poll with a 3day avg would indicate a 15% swing on the 3rd day --- something I find hard to believe.

Still, watching the polls is quite entertaining. Tea leaves and all.



To: SirWalterRalegh who wrote (77600)10/14/2004 7:05:03 PM
From: Nadine Carroll  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 793838
 
and Rasmussen says Bush 48 Kerry 46.

Go figure. The Iowa futures market is holding steady at Bush 55, Kerry 45. I think I trust their predictive power more than any poll.


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