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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Ilaine who wrote (77617)	10/14/2004 7:22:34 PM
From: Carolyn	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793843

I live in Missouri. I predict it will go for Bush.

To: Ilaine who wrote (77617)	10/14/2004 7:31:55 PM
From: SirWalterRalegh	Respond to of 793843

North Carolina....15 Electoral votes for G. W. Bush

To: Ilaine who wrote (77617)	10/14/2004 7:31:59 PM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793843

Cisco was 5 points off last time, I see. I don't have any electoral college wisdom. I notice that electoral-vote.com has NJ tied now, which means Kerry will have to devote resources to a state that Gore won by 16 points in 2000. That can't be good news for Kerry. FWIW, my husband, who doesn't like either candidate, thought Kerry won the first debate, the second was a tie, and Bush won the third debate.

To: Ilaine who wrote (77617)	10/14/2004 8:07:09 PM
From: MichaelSkyy	Respond to of 793843

I live in SW Missouri......below Joplin... Anecdotally, did a local 'drive-around' in my area, mainly rural, small towns, Granby, Neosho.. Bush/Cheney yard signs 10 to 1 Kerry/Edwards......... Mike

To: Ilaine who wrote (77617)	10/14/2004 8:16:53 PM
From: Alan Smithee	Respond to of 793843

I'm in Washington. Washington goes to Kerry, with 11 electoral votes. Idaho is a lock for Bush. 4 electoral votes. Oregon is a toss-up, but likely will go to Kerry. 7 electoral votes.

To: Ilaine who wrote (77617)	10/14/2004 8:25:20 PM
From: gamesmistress	Respond to of 793843

I live in NJ, 15 electoral votes which will probably go for Kerry, though the results are definitely up in the air. Bush is visiting NJ next Monday! Too bad I don't live in Burlington County. Sister of president paves way for a Bush visit to N.J. Monday Thursday, October 14, 2004 BY JOE DONOHUE AND RAVIYA ISMAIL Star-Ledger Staff President Bush is expected to make his first campaign stop in New Jersey next week, making a pitch for votes in a state where polls have shown a tighter-than-expected race, Republican sources said yesterday. Bush is expected to make an afternoon visit Monday in Burlington County, according to four GOP sources involved in the campaign, all of whom requested anonymity. The president's sister, Doro Bush Koch, alluded to it while campaigning in North and Central Jersey yesterday. "Your campaign has just begun. Maybe you'll get a visit from the president," Koch told about 40 supporters crammed into Republican Victory 2004 headquarters in Bernards Township. Jennifer Duffy, an analyst with Cook Political Report, said a personal trip by the president at this point in the campaign "is pretty significant, considering they don't have a lot of time left." She added that it could be a move to keep Democrats off-balance in a state they are counting on winning for John Kerry. One of the Republican officials who confirmed the president's trip called it a strategic move to boost Bush's numbers in South Jersey, which felt less impact from the 9/11 terror attacks than the state's northern half did. So far, polls have shown the president's stance on fighting terrorism has been a plus for him in the state. A Star-Ledger/Rutgers-Eagleton Poll last week found Kerry holding a 48 percent to 37 percent lead in South Jersey, compared to a 46 percent to 42 percent lead in Central Jersey. In North Jersey, Bush led, 47 percent to 41 percent. The source added that the rally will give Bush a "double media hit" -- he will get news coverage in not only New Jersey but Pennsylvania, a leading battleground state throughout the campaign. During a tour that included trips to senior citizen housing in Clifton and Cranford yesterday, the president's sister told volunteers they are critical to a Republican victory. "It's so important what you're doing," Koch said. "All those calls you're making are so important. All the doors you're knocking on are so important. That's what it's going to take." Koch said Republicans are bolstered by polls showing Bush within striking distance of Kerry four years after a Democratic landslide in New Jersey.

To: Ilaine who wrote (77617)	10/15/2004 2:14:48 AM
From: Sully-	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 793843

Western PA reporting in. Battleground state that's too close to call. My family, most of which have been life long liberals, are pro-Bush, even my ultra liberal sister. The same can be said about my closest friends. The liberals in these two groups are one issue voters for the most part. I know of no undecided voters personally. On the other hand, my wife & mother report that in the 2 miles between my home & a local mall, there are hundreds & hundreds of Kerry/Edwards signs in yards & ZERO Bush/Cheney signs. My mom said that most of the Kerry/Edwards signs went up over the weekend. I'm limited in other observations due to a serious knee & ankle injury. I only leave my house for 3 physical therapy sessions each week. We drive about 10-12 miles to get there. I have only noticed 4 or 5 signs (only one Bush). What I have noticed is the large percentage of vehicles with the 'Support our Troops' magnets on them. IMO, many of these are stealth Bush/Cheney signs. The plan I live in has a couple Kerry/Edwards signs - zero Bush (300 homes). It seems no one wants to talk politics in my neighborhood. I think folks here have strong opinions on who they will vote for. I think they don't want to turn their close relationships with their neighbors into the divisions seen here on the various threads. I completely agree. I have great neighbors!