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Politics : Just the Facts, Ma'am: A Compendium of Liberal Fiction -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: JakeStraw who wrote (19008)	10/15/2004 2:53:30 PM
From: Lazarus_Long	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 90947

HOW TO LIE WITH STATISTICS Or, Figgers don't lie, but liars can figger Message 20646209 Now I stuck this data, along with the general election popular vote margin of the winner, into Excel and computed a correlation coeffiecient. The popular vote data is from here: uselectionatlas.org The data looks like this: Election Winner Election Winner YEAR Debate Win Margin Popular Vote Margin 1984 -8 18.21 1988 -9 8.7 1992 19 5.56 1996 25 8.6 2000 1 -0.51 The linear correlation coefficent is -0.31. Or, to put it differently, if the thesis that the author proposes is correct- -that debate wins correlate to election wins- -you are betterr off throwing the deabates and letting your opponent win based on the data he gives.