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Politics : GOPwinger Lies/Distortions/Omissions/Perversions of Truth -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: jlallen who wrote (29851)	10/16/2004 3:18:36 PM
From: geode00	Respond to of 173976

Under 51 he loses. That's history. Over 50 the entire world loses including you, you smutfaced ditz. :)

To: jlallen who wrote (29851)	10/16/2004 5:48:59 PM
From: American Spirit	Respond to of 173976

Polls dont take into account cel phone users, most of which are young people, most of which back Kerry. Before the 2000 election, Bush led Gore by 5% and Gore won. Kerry will end up ahead of Bush but it will be close, especially in Florida. But Kerry may not need Florida. He is looking very good in Ohio, New Hampshire and Nevada, theee red states.

To: jlallen who wrote (29851)	10/16/2004 5:52:52 PM
From: American Spirit	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 173976

Un-Polled Young Voters May Decide Election WASHINGTON (AP) -- A growing number of people rely solely on cell phones to make and take calls, putting them out of reach of polling organizations trying to get a fix on the American electorate. Many cell-only users are young and mobile, a demographic that often doesn't vote. That makes survey researchers confident their polling, which excludes cell phone numbers, reflects the opinions of those likely to have an impact on Election Day. Still, with reports of unprecedented voter registration, many young voters could be flying under the pollsters' radar. "Pollsters don't think the cell phone issue will affect them this year, but they are worried about it," said Michael Brick, a survey methods specialist at Westat, a research firm in Rockville, Maryland. "This may be the last round of presidential elections before it does have an effect." When tracking this year's election, pollsters contact people on traditional phones. (Special Report: America Votes 2004, poll tracker) About 5 percent of all households receive telephone service only by cellular phone, according to a face-to-face survey done earlier this year by the Census Bureau and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Among young adults up to age 24, the number is close to three times as high. * I have personally debated Rasmussen about this and the guy doesn't get it. But this article proves I'm right. I would add about 2-3% to Kerry in the polls on this factor alone. Also voter turnout amongst Dems is likely to be much higher than 2000. That could add another 2-3%.