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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Math Junkie who wrote (21755)10/19/2004 9:30:42 AM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42834
 
"The funny thing is, I think I saw someone on another thread claiming that Brinker was speaking in favor of Bush."

It reminds me of his February 2000 Newsletter where he was happy to participate in market gains since January 2000 with less risk. He even wrote a full page on the "this business to business internet stock fund is different" TEFQX Fund as his recommended new mutual fund.

He is the consumate expert at having it both ways and being able to point to "being right" no matter what happens. This is why I think people need to be warned about him.

Stick to his model portfolios and forget trying to figure out what he is talking about on his show and in his short newsletter and most will do just fine... Most of the "off the books stuff" in his newsletter is simply "advertising" to look like he is participating in the hot sectors. I often wonder if he recommends the hot stuff he doesn't put in his model portfolios as "a hedge" so if his numbers go down from market timing, then he can give sample issues where he recommends a hot fund or QQQ (but doesn't add it to his model portfolios...)

Kirk

PS I think he is right about 1,100. I wrote an article back in march the day before the market dropped to 1,100 for the first time that I felt a major bottom was in the making (put call ratios, and other things...) I think I see what Brinker looks for... a safe test of this first attempt because he didn't go bullish on 1,100 until June. What is interesting is the first bottoms in 2002 were lower than the test bottom in March 2003, maybe because we were switching from Bear to bull? This time, the bottoms have gone lower and lower in a bull flag type of pattern. This time it works out better to wait until later to buy.

The odd thing is Brinker calls these buy points but can't take advantage since he is fully invested. He should have sold some of his QQQ at the start of the year, perhaps going to 90:10 so he could buy the dip to 1,100....

Grab your SOX and put on your rally caps!
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