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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: LindyBill who wrote (78843)	10/19/2004 4:09:35 AM
From: Maurice Winn	Respond to of 793843

Not much argument from me there either Lindy. In fact, Bush did tell Taiwan to tone it down and did sell them a big pile more of military equipment. But the USA holds the real force which matters which is the carrier fleets which can easily keep the Taiwan waters clear of invasion forces from China and prevent aircraft and a lot of other stuff from flying over the water. Taiwan is well-armed. I don't agree though that Taiwan is going to end up totally integrated with China economically. NZ/Oz Taiwan/China are quite similar, and NZ isn't becoming totally integrated with Oz. Neither has Canada become totally integrated with the USA economically. It's a multilateral world with millions of trade flows and customer relationships. The old Kremlin-style big-league economic behemoth integration is out of date. Smaller political entities with smaller economic entities is a better way to run a railroad. In the 1970s, the oil industry went for conglomerate "size is everything" status. But the different business types didn't fit. Now companies "stick with the knitting". Size isn't everything. I'd be surprised if Taiwan becomes just another patch of China, though I would be surprised if they don't more closely integrate in a civilized way via free exchange and perhaps political association in some ways too. Time can help, but unless the political will is right, time can lead to burgeoning dictatorship and the horrors of 1940s Germany. With Jiang Zemin out of the way, we might see a more civilized direction by China. But maybe not too. Mqurice