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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: mishedlo who wrote (13836)	10/21/2004 8:42:38 PM
From: CalculatedRisk	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 116555

The FED can admit the economy is weak AFTER the election. Right now neutral rates would be between 4% and 5%. Anything below that indicates weakness. "Neutral": Inflation is 2.5% to 3%. A neutral real rate would be 1.5% to 2%, and that gives 4% to 5%. If they think neutral is lower than that, they think we will see less inflation going forward.