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Politics : Proof that John Kerry is Unfit for Command -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ann Corrigan who wrote (21274)10/22/2004 3:58:50 PM
From: American Spirit  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27181
 
Kerry is ahead. Not Bush. The whole "likely voter" methodology of the past can be thrown out the window as can all the phone polling.

Pollsters admit this is the last year they can even run home phone polling because it is so inaccurate. Live internet polls are even less accurate. The least accurate are private military polls.

I agree the media wants this to be tied and it might be. But they also dont want to be wrong so saying it's tied is risk-free.

Voter turnout is always the key and this year it will be HUGE-HUGE-HUGE, most of it anti-Bush voters who usually dont even vote, are new voters or went for Nader in 2000. Nader will get less than 1%. Undecideds will go 4-1 for Kerry. Youth voters will go 2-1 Kerry. Kerry will again get 90% of the black vote. Bush's female vote advantage has already been erased and is flip-flopping to Kerry.

What will really kill Bush in the end is his jobs losses in Ohio. Bush went AWOL on jobs for 3+ years. That will cost him the election, along with the fiasco and lies in Iraq.