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Politics : John Kerry for President? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (2925)	10/23/2004 4:07:14 PM
From: American Spirit	Respond to of 3515

About 50% of young voters use cel phones and cannot be polled. Others on college campuses are also hard to poll. So conservatively figure half the new youth vote cannot be polled. I have heard new young voter figures as high as 70% pro Kerry. It is at least 60%. 10-20 million new young voters are registering. If you do the math you get the idea. Now, add in a much bigger than usual last-minute burst of minority "registered but unlikely" voters and single women voters for Kerry. That is only partially erased by new evangelical voters. Again, major advantage Kerry. Plus expect Nader to sink below 1% and Libertarians to get 1%. So Nader is a wash who isn't evgen on the Ohio ballot. Ohio will probably decide the election. At this time in 2000, Gore was about 4% behind in the polls. he ended up getting 500,000 more votes than Bush. All in all, a conservative estimate would be 10 million additional Kerry voters than have been polled up until now. That's more than enough to surpass Bush. And the heaviest new voter recruitment is in battleground states.