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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Riskmgmt who wrote (54788)10/25/2004 1:23:10 AM
From: Seeker of Truth  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Mr. Smith,
"Where would one be better off?" The short reply is outside of the US, at the very least get your money outside of the US.
1. Indebtedness of the general public, via credit cards and home loans.
2. Balance of payments. It's not thinkable that the Japanese and Chinese governments will accumulate US government bonds forever.
3. Eternal war. Stalin was so happy when the agreement was made to hand over Palestine territory, where the Arabs had lived and predominated for about 17 centuries, to the zionist movement. He foresaw eternal friction thereby between all Arabs, not only the Palestinians, and the US. The Arabs did not consent and they launched a war in which they lost the first and all subsequent encounters and the state of Israel gets fervent support from only one country, the US. Hence the Arabs hate the US. Bush is resolved to conquer the Middle East. Syria and Iran are the next on his list.
4. Ballooning public debt because of the determination to pay for the eternal war with printed paper(bonds) rather than taxes.
5. A backward heritage: pro gun, anti abortion, wasting energy, ignoring the UN which is "foreign", equal power in the Senate to different size states such as Nevada and California. Electoral college system, underfunded primary and secondary school education,etc. Of course some of these features are present in other countries but not such a complete set.
I apologize to the regulars here for repeating the same old points. Few of us feel glee at the downfall of the US. It seems to me that Bush needs Al Qaeda and that's why he shifted his fire away from them toward the ruler of Iraq.



To: Riskmgmt who wrote (54788)10/25/2004 2:36:37 AM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 74559
 
Where else instead of US ?

For long term holdings, as opposed to this years' favorite country, there are only a few possibilities -

1) Switzerland - but tends to be overpriced and low growth. Useful for preserving some capital, not making. Also surronded by EU, possibly not good long term. Also it's small.

2) Norway also very small, and a wanning petro country, but outside of EU & Euro.

3) Canada. This assumes the US doesn't fall apart, it just gets worse. Since it is a resource country, a manufacturing country and has finance and services, plus access to Atlantic and Pacific, chances are it will do much better than muddle through. Note lack of military / imperial drag on the economy. Positive immigration effects. Note that it is an Oil and Natural gas exporter. Very large market close by also.

Outside of those, there are lots of special situations - Japan high tech, French pharma, China coal, gold miners, etc.