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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Michael Watkins who wrote (149314)	10/27/2004 1:00:16 PM
From: GST	Respond to of 281500

<oil as a major flash point between China and the US> China is going to be consuming more oil -- period. The implications are serious for oil markets, and yes I agree it is a flash point because of issues of supply. The disputed oil in the south China sea is a case in point. Global warming is another -- although Bush et al have decided that a small thing like global climate chaos is less important than maintaining the status quo with political friends and campaign contributors. It is also possible that reality of the situation in Taiwan has become increasingly clear -- it is not a sovereign nation and never will be -- but it could be the spark that ignites a war into which Washington does not want to be dragged. The US would be put in an impossible situation if Taiwan tries to break away from China. The consequences would be devastating to our interests. Intelligent people do not want this to come to pass. Powell is the least stupid person on the Bush team, although they suckered him a few times into looking like an idiot. Taiwan must get on with being Taiwan within one China.