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Politics : Proof that John Kerry is Unfit for Command -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: calgal who wrote (22542)10/27/2004 1:29:25 PM
From: calgal  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27181
 
Best of the Web Today BY JAMES TARANTO
Why is the Angry Left getting angrier if they think Kerry is going to win?
3:17 p.m. EDT

we posted this column, but they often go bad after a while. We make no guarantees.

BY JAMES TARANTO

opinionjournal.com

Monday, October 25, 2004 3:17 p.m. EDT

Angry Left Meltdown!
With eight days to go, most indicators seem to point to a narrow Bush victory as the likeliest outcome. Most polls show a slight Bush advantage, though children in the Weekly Reader poll gave him 65% to just 33% for Kerry (though Kerry won among high school sophomores). The Tradesports.com futures market shows Bush leading, 271 electoral votes to 243, with 24 up in the air.

Political scientists are more bullish on Bush: Gary Andres reports on National Review Online that of seven scholars or scholarly teams who specialize in election forecasting, six think Bush will "win the popular vote"; the average of the seven estimates has Bush carrying 53.8% of the two-party popular vote. (That would translate into 53.3% of the total vote if third parties get 1%.) Only one of the forecasts has Bush getting less than 50%--49.9%, to be exact. Take this with a grain of salt; political scientists predicted an even bigger Gore victory (53% to 60%) in 2000, and Gore's actual two-party total was 50.3%.

But here's a totally different indicator that also favors Bush: the mood of Kedwards supporters. They still seem angry, not confident. Start with Elizabeth Edwards, wife of running mate John Edwards. The Drudge Report notes that a C-Span camera caught her on camera talking to a supporter about the possibility of postelection violence (MP3 audio clip here):