Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Michael Watkins who wrote (149416)	10/27/2004 5:06:38 PM
From: Sun Tzu	Respond to of 281500

Yugoslavia is very much the right analogy. It was a shot-gun wedding because none of the neighboring countries wanted to deal with it "founding" nations. The same can be said about Iraq. Left to its own devices, it will break apart into 3 states. But of course neither Iran nor Turkey (nor even US for that matter) wants to see an indipendent Kurdistan. The same can be said for the Shia region. BTW, why would Iranian Ayatollahs want to see Najaf competing with Qom? A theocratic Shia government in Iraq would be a competition. As for the Sunni Arab minority in Iraq, they could not survive on their own so they will fiercely fight for "unity" and failing that will most likely prefer to unit with Syria. Now what are the chances of US letting that happen? The bottom line is that Clancy-like fantasies are fun, but somehow reality always has a way of taking the fun out of the fantasies.