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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Mao II who wrote (652831)	10/28/2004 3:24:26 PM
From: willcousa	Respond to of 769667

You may not have known this but "it's a long, long, time from May to November".

To: Mao II who wrote (652831)	10/28/2004 3:25:41 PM
From: Mana	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769667

A May Washington Post/ABC News poll showed Kerry with a 79 percent to 6 percent lead over Bush among black voters That might concern me if it was relevant today. Here is a poll from October 19th from a Black think tank. Black Support for President Bush Up According To New Joint Center Poll [18% now, 9% in 2000] US Newswire ^ \| Oct 19, 2004 \| unknown Posted on 10/19/2004 6:51:09 AM PDT by Mike Fieschko WASHINGTON, Oct. 19 /U.S. Newswire/ -- In a surprising contradiction, more African Americans say they are willing to vote for President George W. Bush on November 2, even though his favorable rating is lower now than it was four years ago, according to a new poll released today by the Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies. In the Joint Center's 2004 National Opinion Poll - Politics, 18 percent of African Americans say they would vote for President Bush, doubling the nine percent that said they would support him in the Joint Center's pre-election 2000 poll. However, Senator John Kerry still beats President Bush among African American voters (69 to 18 percent). "This poll is showing a certain amount of black ambivalence in terms of election year issues that resonate within the community, and their relationship with Senator Kerry," said Eddie N. Williams, president of the Joint Center. "They are holding conservative positions on some wedge issues like same-sex marriage and civil unions and indicating clear disapproval of the way the country is being run. At the same time, they have not yet embraced Senator Kerry to the extent that they did former president Clinton and former vice president Gore." Only 22 percent of African Americans give President Bush high job ratings, 67 percent of them view him unfavorably, and almost three-quarters of them disapprove of the president's handling of Iraq. On one of the key social issues in this year's debate, African Americans show greater opposition to both marriage and civil unions for same-sex couples than the general population (49 to 37 percent). "This is the first time we have asked about gay and lesbian issues, so we cannot tell whether African Americans' position on this issue has hardened because of the ongoing debate," said David A. Bositis, the Joint Center's senior research associate and author of the study. Among the other findings: -- Most African Americans (63 percent) and almost half the general population (48 percent) are concerned that their vote might not be counted. -- Only 23 percent of African Americans and 32 percent of the general population give the "No Child Left Behind" education program high marks. -- Among African Americans, 32 percent of seniors think the Medicare drug bill is bad, compared with 39 percent of the general population. -- Fewer African Americans over 50 years of age (60 percent) identified themselves as Democrats in 2004 than in 2002 (72.2 percent). In contrast, more African Americans under age 35 (66.3 percent) are self-identified Democrats in 2004 than in 2002 (55.2 percent). The overall percentage (63 percent) remains unchanged from 2002. The survey was conducted between September 15 and October 10, 2004, among 1,642 adults around the country. There are two component samples: 850 African Americans and 850 members of the general population (including 58 African Americans). There is a statistical margin of error of 3.5 percent. This is the Joint Center's 13th national poll since 1984. The Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies, a nonpartisan, nonprofit organization, conducts research and analyses on public policy issues of concern to African Americans and other minorities, promotes their involvement in the governance process, and operates programs that create coalitions within minority, business and other diverse communities. For more information, visit jointcenter.org. freerepublic.com