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Politics : John Kerry for President? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Oeconomicus who wrote (3225)	10/29/2004 2:46:21 PM
From: Proud_Infidel	Respond to of 3515

Vice president to rally voters in Hawaii Last-minute visit forces Kerry to spend money there, tooThe Associated Press Updated: 12:24 p.m. ET Oct. 29, 2004EAU CLAIRE, Wis. - Making a major detour on the campaign trail, Vice President Dick Cheney on Sunday night will rally voters in Hawaii, a state only two Republicans have won in a presidential race. The Bush-Cheney campaign says Hawaii is within reach and that every electoral vote is worth fighting for — in Hawaii's case, four electoral votes. "The polls look so good in Hawaii that we are going to drop in," Cheney told hundreds of cheering Republican volunteers Friday morning in Wisconsin. The vice president said he and wife, Lynn, have campaigned in 48 states over the past year "and yesterday we booked the 49th." The Bush campaign is highlighting Hawaii in a move that forces Sen. John Kerry to spend money there and feeds the perception that President Bush will win. A campaign can use second-tier states like Hawaii to cover its bets in case it miscalculated elsewhere. For example, Al Gore miscalculated in West Virginia four years ago when Bush became only the fourth GOP candidate to win the state since 1932. "We are competitive in the state; this is a very close race," said Cheney spokeswoman Anne Womack. Gov. Linda Lingle, Hawaii's first Republican governor in four decades, said the Cheney appearance is a response to polls showing Bush and Kerry neck and neck, a remarkable turn of events in a state that Democrat Al Gore won by 18 percentage points in 2000. With the lowest unemployment rate in the nation, Hawaii has none of the economic problems that many states on the mainland have. The islands are in the midst of a construction boom. Tourism is soaring after recovering from the Sept. 11 attacks. Ten thousand Hawaii-based U.S. troops are at war in Afghanistan and Iraq, making the military vote in a time of war a strong potential force for an incumbent Republican. Hawaii politics are in a state of flux. Lingle cashed in on widespread voter discontent with an entrenched Democratic power structure. The state Legislature is still Democratic, although Lingle has been campaigning hard to change that, and Republicans may at least pick up enough House seats to keep Democrats from overriding her vetoes. Hawaii also has a trend in elections that makes Democrats uneasy: a lot of cross-party voting in presidential races. But there are also factors in Kerry's favor. Democratic Sen. Daniel Inouye cites anger over the deployment of a disproportionate number of National Guard troops from Hawaii, the state's highest-in-the-nation gasoline prices and Bush's support for gun legislation. State widely ignored until now During the campaign no major national political figure has set foot in the state, 4,800 miles from Washington. Now as Election Day approaches, Gore is coming to Hawaii to appear with Kerry's daughter Alexandra on Friday for a get-out-the-vote rally. Lingle, who was aboard Air Force One with Bush and Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., the day after the final presidential debate, said she had requested that someone from the national campaign come to Hawaii but did not specifically ask for the vice president. To Northwestern University political science professor Benjamin Page, Cheney's trip to Hawaii "seems like an odd use of his time." Not at all, says Womack, Cheney's spokeswoman. "Look for your opportunities and do it in a way that maintains everything" already on the schedule, says Womack. With an itinerary that is already packed, Cheney will simply forego sleep in a hotel for a full overnight of flying to and from a state that Democrats no longer take for granted. Ronald Reagan and Richard Nixon are the only GOP presidential candidates ever to win Hawaii's vote. They, like Bush, were running for second terms.

To: Oeconomicus who wrote (3225)	10/29/2004 3:02:11 PM
From: American Spirit	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 3515

Gas-oil prices have doubled under Bush, much of it sheer deliberate gouging. Bush-cheney lied in 2000 wqhen they claimed they'd use their clout to give us lower energy prices. Instead, they encouraged the massive gouging by looking the other way. Read "The Dirty Truth" if you want the full list of oil-gas-polluter contributions to Bush, much of from Enron. Bush-Cheney is the big oil ticket, but never against can we allow these Texas thieves to control our govermnment. Add DElay in there and it's just highway robbery all the way. very bad for our environment too.

To: Oeconomicus who wrote (3225)	10/29/2004 3:26:35 PM
From: Proud_Infidel	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 3515

The bets are in--Bush to win Published: October 29, 2004, 10:24 AM PDT By Andy McCue Special to CNET News.com news.com.com George W. Bush is heading for a surprise landslide victory in next week's presidential elections, going by online betting patterns. Although U.S. opinion polls are still finding it hard to separate President Bush from his Democratic challenger, Sen. John Kerry, customers of Betfair, an online betting exchange, have overwhelmingly backed the Republican candidate. Betfair's latest figures show 2.3 million pounds ($4.2 million) have been wagered on Bush, while Kerry has attracted only 680,000 pounds ($1.25 million) in bets. Bush is now at 1-5 odds to stay in office, whereas gamblers can still get odds of 2-1 on Kerry to win. Betfair said its betting patterns are a more accurate indication of election results than the opinion polls. The patterns correctly predicted that Australia's Prime Minister John Howard would comfortably secure a surprise victory in last month's general election. Mark Davies, director of communications at Betfair, said opinion polls only survey a small percentage of the population, who have no real incentive to provide accurate information. "In contrast, Betfair's prices are based on people who are prepared to put their money where their mouth is," Davies said in a statement. "Our figures have proved to be an amazingly accurate indicator at both the Australian general election last month and the California governor's election last year. As a result, we're sure George Bush will be pleased to hear that Betfair's sharp-minded punters are backing him to the hilt." Andy McCue of Silicon.com reported from London.