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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: gamesmistress who wrote (82102)10/30/2004 7:57:52 PM
From: Carolyn  Respond to of 793845
 
The Beltway Boys on Fox predict a Bush win with 286 Electoral votes. They also predict legal challenges - big surprise there.



To: gamesmistress who wrote (82102)10/30/2004 8:06:20 PM
From: LindyBill  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 793845
 

Anybody want to make a prediction?


I said, back on Aug 20th, when Kerry finally answered the Swift Vets, that he was toast. I still think so. I expect a strong win, about 300 electorial, and a 51% or better total.



To: gamesmistress who wrote (82102)10/30/2004 8:48:27 PM
From: MichaelSkyy  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 793845
 
Anybody want to make a prediction? Since you asked...

I predict a "President Bush" landslide!!!!
300+ electoral college outcome!!!
53-55% popular vote...

The think they 'know-it-all' pundits are going
to have there collective 'butts' handed to them
by the "Blue State" Silent Majority, AKA undeclared,
undecided, patriotic, God bless America, Star Spangled
Banner tear-in-the-eye, "PROUD AMERICANS"!!!!!!!

IMHO

Mike



To: gamesmistress who wrote (82102)10/30/2004 9:01:04 PM
From: Alan Smithee  Respond to of 793845
 
Anybody want to make a prediction?

Strong Bush. Maybe not of landslide proportions, but a strong win, both with popular vote and in the electoral college.

There may be a few states that surprise, i.e., states that had been thought would be solid Kerry wins, that will go for Bush.



To: gamesmistress who wrote (82102)10/30/2004 9:20:05 PM
From: Nadine Carroll  Respond to of 793845
 
Anybody want to make a prediction?

A Howard-style Bush win. MSM says "close, close, close"; in the end it's not close. Bush by 4 or 5 points.



To: gamesmistress who wrote (82102)10/30/2004 10:21:58 PM
From: Sig  Respond to of 793845
 
Solid win for Bush
Sig



To: gamesmistress who wrote (82102)10/31/2004 12:28:20 AM
From: Captain Jack  Respond to of 793845
 
<"Anybody want to make a prediction?">

Sure-- Bush 280 EC votes 52% of the pop vote. Nader 1.5% kerry in the potty.....



To: gamesmistress who wrote (82102)10/31/2004 12:06:48 PM
From: carranza2  Respond to of 793845
 
Sure, Gina, I'll make a prediction:

Too close to call.

Friday I would have said Bush trend.

Today Fox says tie.

RealClearPolitics has it as a tie:

realclearpolitics.com

No way I can call it today. Perhaps I'll think differently tomorrow.

I will say this: The weather will not be Kerry's friend. It may ultimately affect the result more than any one factor. Lots of rain expected in the upper Midwest and the East Tuesday. It is well-known that Dems are less likely to vote than Republicans if the weather is bad. This may very well tip one or two swing states into W's camp.



To: gamesmistress who wrote (82102)10/31/2004 12:24:54 PM
From: Ilaine  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 793845
 
Bush win. Tucker Carlson isn't a Bush supporter, BTW.



To: gamesmistress who wrote (82102)10/31/2004 12:32:13 PM
From: Nadine Carroll  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 793845
 
Outlook 2004 Crystal Ball


This was a silly exercise. Of course Donna Brazile is going to predict a Kerry win. Even if she thought otherwise, she would have to predict a Kerry win out of team loyalty. It makes more sense to listen to pollsters whose reputation rides on accuracy, not on one side or the other.



To: gamesmistress who wrote (82102)10/31/2004 4:44:40 PM
From: richardred  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 793845
 
I'm on record now!

SI members-Bush in landslide.

Message 20708109

Subject 55103



To: gamesmistress who wrote (82102)10/31/2004 6:49:57 PM
From: Sully-  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 793845
 
My SWAG (assuming no more "October Surprises" in Nov).

PV

Bush 50.4%

Kerry 48.6%

EC

Bush 290

Kerry 248

Kerry declares victory & challenges the count in 15 states.



To: gamesmistress who wrote (82102)10/31/2004 7:44:03 PM
From: SirWalterRalegh  Respond to of 793845
 
"Good luck on Tuesday, wherever you may vote."

First of all I don't wish my enemy good luck. That is a feel good attitude which I abhor.

As for an election prediction.....Both candidates declare victory Tuesday night.....
Hundreds of lawsuits are filed....its becomes clear that it will end up with the
US Supremes....one of the Supremes dies suddenly...after careful arguments presented by David Bois and Ed Koch the court proffers a tie vote 4-4.

Kerry asks that Jimmy Carter certify this 4-4 vote. Goofy Annan says a tie vote
should be decided by a "global test". Bush resigns......President Cheney says go f*** yourself to Senators Leahy, Daschle. Kennedy,Levin,Clinton,Schummer,Boxer,
Edwards, Kerry,Graham, Feingold, Feinstein, Nelson, Corizine..................

Cheney thinks to himself "What a bunch of low life anti-American SOB's."

Bush wins easily.....RB