Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (21084)	10/31/2004 12:43:42 PM
From: russwinter	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 110194

Here's the problem, Kerry is just running too weak with the middle class, and if consumer sentiment is trending higher (even falsely), bad news. Survey USA (has non-traditional polling bent) breaks this down in closer states. 40-80K group: Nevada Kerry 43 Bush 55 Florida K 41 B 56 Iowa K 41 B 56 Michigan K 44 B 52 Ohio K 43 B 54 Michigan K 44 B 52 Virginia K 46 B 52 So Kerry is too dependent on unusually large minority, youth, urban, low income voter turnout, undercounting cell phone users, etc. Maybe it's out there, but in a number of close states, he has holes even in those groups. Too many poor, younger, white, non-urban folks are being fooled. 18-34 age group: Nevada: K 54 B 42 Florida K 53 B 45 Iowa K 49 B 47 Virginia K 51 B 46 Pa K 53 B 44 Ore. K 53 B 45 Ohio K 54 B 42 Colo. K 47 B 51 under 40k income: Missouri K 48 B 51 Iowa K 53 B 42 Virginia K 54 B 46 Oregon K 53 B 43 Works for Kerry here: under 40k / 18-34 New Jersey K 68 B 25 / K 62 B 33 Nevada K 63 B 36 Michigan K 58 B 37 / K 56 B 38 Ohio K 57 B 39 Florida K 63 B 35 Pa income percent not listed by Survey USA