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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ild who wrote (14405)10/31/2004 6:10:00 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Respond to of 116555
 
<<Comments anybody?>>

It all looks good to me, I think all the equities you cited (NEW, ACF, XLF, mortgage insurers) will be significantly lower 1 year from now. I've been wrong a long time on that prediction, however....<G>



To: ild who wrote (14405)10/31/2004 6:55:03 PM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 116555
 
Good Luck!
The theory is perfect, hoping your timing is perfect too.
Mish



To: ild who wrote (14405)10/31/2004 9:40:03 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
ild, what do you think the impact will be on REITs?

I guess you saw the latest Contrary Investor -- do you think rates have to move up substantially for REITs to get killed. He showed some curious trends regarding vacancy ...

I am interested in the stock IMH -- apparently they do multifamily -- mortgage warehousing -- large exposure to California and Florida?? Why is the yield so darn high compared to its brethren?



To: ild who wrote (14405)4/5/2005 1:52:27 PM
From: Perspective  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
ILD - looks like your trades are paying off; nice break in NEW. I'm sorry I haven't joined you yet. I was foolishly waiting for $55 again after the 200DSMA breach - never got the entry. Now I'm trying to figure out what to do there.

ACF hasn't come unglued yet, so maybe I'll just start accumulating there.

Which mortgage insurers are you short?

I'm assuming you're short CFC as well?

BC