Polls Look great for Bush:Summary: Presidential Polls 31-Oct-2004 The Associated Press
CBS-New York Times, Oct. 28-30, 643 LV, MoE +/-4
(Results from CBS-Times two weeks ago in parentheses)
--Bush-Cheney, 49 percent (47)
--Kerry-Edwards, 46 percent (45)
--Nader-Camejo, 1 percent (2)
--Unsure, 4 percent (6)
Pew Research Center, Oct. 27-30, 1,925 LV, MoE+/-2.5
--Bush-Cheney, 48 percent (47)
--Kerry-Edwards, 45 percent (47)
--Nader-Camejo, 1 percent (1)
--Unsure, 6 percent (5)
STATES ARKANSAS -- 6 electoral votes (Bush won in 2000 by 5.4 percentage points)
Mason-Dixon for MSNBC-Knight Ridder, Oct. 26-29, 625 LV, MoE +/-4
--Bush-Cheney, 51 percent
--Kerry-Edwards, 43 percent
--Unsure/Other, 6 percent
COLORADO - 9 electoral votes (Bush won in 2000 by 8.4 percentage points)
Mason-Dixon for MSNBC-Knight Ridder, Oct. 26-29, 625 LV, MoE +/-4
(Results from mid-October Mason-Dixon poll in parentheses)
--Bush-Cheney, 50 percent (49)
--Kerry-Edwards, 43 percent (43)
--Unsure/Other, 7 percent (8)
FLORIDA -- 27 electoral votes (Bush won in 2000 by 537 votes)
Mason-Dixon for MSNBC-Knight Ridder, Oct. 26-29, 625 LV, MoE +/-4
(Results from mid-October Mason-Dixon poll in parentheses)
--Bush-Cheney, 49 percent (48)
--Kerry-Edwards, 45 percent (45)
--Nader-Camejo, 1 percent (1)
--Unsure/Other, 5 percent (6)
IOWA -- 7 electoral votes (Gore won in 2000 by 0.3 percentage points)
Selzer & Co.-Des Moines Register, Oct. 25-29, 806 LV, MoE +/-3.5
(Results from July Register poll in parentheses)
--Kerry, 48 percent (45)
--Bush, 45 percent (46)
--Nader, 1 percent (2)
--Unsure, 6 percent (7)
Mason-Dixon for MSNBC-Knight-Ridder, Oct. 26-29, 625 LV, MoE +/-4
(Results from mid-October Mason-Dixon poll in parentheses)
--Bush-Cheney, 49 percent (49)
--Kerry-Edwards, 44 percent (43)
--Unsure/Other, 7 percent (8)
MICHIGAN -- 17 electoral votes (Gore won in 2000 by 5.2 percentage points)
Mason-Dixon for MSNBC-Knight-Ridder, Oct. 26-29, 626 LV, MoE +/-4
(Results from mid-October Mason-Dixon poll in parentheses)
--Kerry-Edwards, 47 percent (47)
--Bush-Cheney, 45 percent (46)
--Nader-Camejo, 1 percent ( )
--Unsure, 8 percent (7)
MINNESOTA -- 10 electoral votes (Gore won in 2000 by 2.4 percentage points)
Mason-Dixon for MSNBC-Knight-Ridder, Oct. 27-29, 625 LV, MoE +/-4
(Results from mid-September Mason-Dixon poll in parentheses)
--Bush-Cheney, 48 percent (44)
--Kerry-Edwards, 47 percent (46)
--Unsure/Other, 5 percent (10)
MISSOURI -- 11 electoral votes (Bush won in 2000 by 3.3 percentage points)
Mason-Dixon for MSNBC-Knight Ridder, Oct. 26-29, 625 LV, MoE +/-4
(Results from mid-October Mason-Dixon poll in parentheses)
--Bush-Cheney, 49 percent (49)
--Kerry-Edwards, 44 percent (44)
--Unsure, 7 percent (7)
NEVADA -- 5 electoral votes (Bush won in 2000 by 3.5 percentage points)
Mason-Dixon for MSNBC-Knight-Ridder, Oct. 26-29, 625 LV, MoE +/-4
(Results from mid-September in parentheses)
--Bush-Cheney, 50 percent (50)
--Kerry-Edwards, 44 percent (45)
--Unsure/other, 6 percent (5)
NEW HAMPSHIRE -- 4 electoral votes (Bush won in 2000 by 1.3 percentage points)
Mason-Dixon for MSNBC-Knight Ridder, Oct. 26-29, 625 LV, MoE +/-4
(Results from mid-October Mason-Dixon poll in parentheses)
--Kerry-Edwards, 47 percent (45)
--Bush-Cheney, 46 percent (48)
--Nader-Camejo, 1 percent (1)
--Unsure/Other, 6 percent (6)
NEW JERSEY -- 15 electoral votes (Gore won in 2000 by 15.8 percentage points)
The Star-Ledger/Eagleton-Rutgers, Oct. 27-29, 740 LV, MoE +/-3.5
--Kerry-Edwards, 43 percent
--Bush-Cheney, 43 percent
--Nader-Camejo, 2 percent
--Unsure/Other, 12 percent
NEW MEXICO -- 5 electoral votes (Gore won in 2000 by 0.1 percentage points)
Mason-Dixon for various media clients, Oct. 27-29, 625 LV, MoE +/-4
(Results from mid-October Mason-Dixon poll in parentheses)
--Bush-Cheney, 49 percent (46)
--Kerry-Edwards, 45 percent (48)
--Nader-Camejo, 1 percent (1)
--Unsure/Other, 5 percent (5)
OHIO -- 20 electoral votes (Bush won in 2000 by 3.6 percentage points)
Mason-Dixon for MSNBC-Knight Ridder, Oct. 26-29, 625 LV, MoE +/-4
(Results from mid-October Mason-Dixon poll in parentheses)
--Bush-Cheney, 48 percent (46)
--Kerry-Edwards, 46 percent (45)
--Unsure/other, 6 percent (9)
OREGON -- 7 electoral votes (Gore won in 2000 by 0.5 percentage points)
Mason-Dixon for MSNBC-Knight-Ridder, Oct. 26-29, 625 LV, MoE +/-4
(Results from mid-October Mason-Dixon poll in parentheses)
--Kerry-Edwards, 50 percent (47)
--Bush-Cheney, 44 percent (46)
--Unsure/Other, 6 percent (7)
PENNSYLVANIA -- 21 electoral votes (Gore won in 2000 by 4.2 percentage points)
Mason-Dixon for MSNBC-Knight-Ridder, Oct. 26-29, 625 LV, MoE +/-4
(Results from mid-October Mason-Dixon poll in parentheses)
--Kerry-Edwards, 47 percent (46)
--Bush-Cheney, 47 percent (45)
--Unsure/Other, 6 percent (9)
WEST VIRGINIA -- 5 electoral votes (Bush won in 2000 by 6.3 percentage points)
Mason-Dixon for MSNBC-Knight Ridder, Oct. 26-29, 625 LV, MoE +/-4
(Results from mid-October Mason-Dixon poll in parentheses)
--Bush-Cheney, 51 percent (49)
--Kerry-Edwards, 43 percent (44)
--Unsure/other, 6 percent (7)
WISCONSIN -- 10 electoral votes (Gore won in 2000 by 0.2 percentage points)
Mason-Dixon for MSNBC-Knight-Ridder, Oct. 26-29, 625 LV, MoE +/-4
(Results from mid-October Mason-Dixon poll in parentheses)
--Kerry-Edwards, 48 percent (45)
--Bush-Cheney, 46 percent (45)
--Nader-Camejo, 1 percent (1)
--Unsure, 5 percent (9)
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