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To: LPS5 who wrote (1636)	11/2/2004 6:05:25 PM
From: Lazarus_Long	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 2534

Hate to say it, but I think you're wrong. Heavy voter turn out. More poorly informed voters. With lower intelligence, less able to work out the consequences of events. Kerry voters. If I have to call it, Kerry, but close.

To: LPS5 who wrote (1636)	11/2/2004 6:17:38 PM
From: HairBall	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 2534

LPS5: From your mouth to God's ears...gg LG

To: LPS5 who wrote (1636)	11/2/2004 6:51:47 PM
From: Bill Ulrich	Respond to of 2534

The online bookies had a small margin for Bush earlier today. Now they're leaning towards Kerry. From Ireland-based tradesports.com Bid Ask Last Vol Chge GWBUSH2004 29.9 30.0 29.9 1.2m -23.1 KERRY2004 70.1 71.5 70.6 143.2k +23.6

To: LPS5 who wrote (1636)	11/2/2004 7:04:40 PM
From: Lazarus_Long	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 2534

Let me expand on and partly retract that. There is some correlation between intelligence and income, but it's not strong. It is partly because intelligence test scores predict years of education so well that they also predict occupational status, and even income to a smaller extent ............................................................... We can also begin with IQ scores, which by themselves account for about one-fourth of the social status variance and one-sixth of the income variance. ............................................................... It is partly because intelligence test scores predict years of education so well that they also predict occupational status, and even income to a smaller extent michna.com The heavier the turn-out, the higher percentage of poor in it. There aimply are more of them and they generally are less likely to vote anyway and the wealthy are more likely to normally vote. Now if you are poor, who are you more likely to favor? Democrats, because "soak the rich" is their standard battle cry. If they do so, the poor can get the benefit of the money extracted from them. (In fact, it seems ultimately the middle class is what gets taxed, but the result, from the POV of the poor, is the same.)