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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: LindyBill who wrote (83105)	11/3/2004 12:00:28 AM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793782

Horserace - OH update West. Bush nets 96 votes in Huron County. West Central. Bush nets 1,415 votes in Champaign County. Ohio Valley. Kerry outdoing Bush 52-48. In 2000 it was reversed. 8% switch. Things do not look good in IA thus far... posted by Jay @ 10:33 PM 4 comments NM Update Bush doing better in SW NM...up 8% relative to 2000. Through the whole South NM, Bush is up 20,000 votes. North: Doing better in Colfax, Quay, McKinley. Holding steady in Mora County. IMPORTANT: BUSH DOING BETTER IN BERNALILLO COUNTY...Albuquerque swing area. He is winning as of right now. Also...MSNBC all but calling FL for Bush. Calling it "grim" for Kerry. posted by Jay @ 10:33 PM 0 comments WI Update Bush up 52-48 in NE WI. Slight Kerry advantage here. Bush doing much better in SE WI, especially Milwaukee County. 9% overall, 17% in Milwaukee County. posted by Jay @ 10:26 PM 3 comments OH Update... ...Bush continues to do well in West Central OH. He nets 2,631 votes relative to 2000 in Richland County. He nets 3,605 votes relative to 2000 in Shelby County. He nets 2,336 votes in Preble County. Bush nets 1,903 votes in Ottawa County in the west. So far, the West and West Central look good for Bush. The Northeast looks good. The Ohio Valley seems sketchy for him, but there are still data issues down there. I'm not sure what is going on there... Bush still doing well in Northeast. He is up 1.74% relative to 2000. Still up 5% in Cuyahoga, current vote totals about 47% less than in 2000. Still waiting on heavily Republican Cleveland exurb Medina County...all in all, things look good there. Good news...Kerry only nets 1,033 votes in heavily Democratic Ashtabula County. Bush doing better in Central Ohio relative to 2000. This time around it is 59.47%. Last time 58.87%. Still waiting on heavily Republican Jackson County and heavily Republican Tuscawaras County. posted by Jay @ 10:22 PM 6 comments FL Update Good news... Florida Update: Bush nets 14,500 votes in Bay County. Panhandle. Bush nets 14,899 in Okaloosa County. Panhandle. Bush nets 13,845 in Santa Rosa County. Panhandle. Bush nets 9,000 votes in Collier County. Southwest Fl. Bush nets 11,269 votes in Manatee County. Tampa Area. posted by Jay @ 10:10 PM 2 comments Ohio Update... ...Putnam County (Western OH), Bush up 2% of the vote relative to 2000 with 7% more voters than 2000. Northeast Ohio getting closer to 2000 results...Bush up 4.70% (lots left to still be counted). Doing better in Cuyahoga (9.90%) and Ashtabula (up 9.55%). Holding relatively steady in Ashland, Geaugua, Portage, Stark, Wayne (down slightly in all). Early news out of Lucas County (West) has Bush down 9% relative to 2000. This is still early (only 21% reporting) Some good news? Turnout in conservative Hancock (West Central OH) was up relative to 2000...Bush nets 2,228 votes. In Henry County (West) Bush nets 580 votes. Bush looking decent in Columbus. posted by Jay @ 10:02 PM 13 comments PA Update Dn't sweat the PA results spilling out on the screen. Heavy Philly returns. In Philly, Bush is up 1.14% compared to 2000 with 93% reporting...doing better in Lebanon County. Holding generally steady in York County (SE PA)...down a little bit, I guess (less than 1%). North Central PA: Bush up 6% relative to 2000 with 34% of vote in... Western PA...Allegheny County (Pittsburgh and near suburbs), Bush is getting outdone. Turnout up and Bush is down about 2%...Bush is doing better in Armstrong and (tiny) Greene County. No change relative to 2000 in Erie and Clarion Counties...Doing a little worse in Butler County (Come on, Raiders...vote for Bush!!! Note, my Hawkeye thinks something smells with CNN's Butler CO data)...doing better in (tiny) Indiana County. Worse in Lawrence County (rust belt area). About the same in Beaver, Venango, Washington, Westmoreland. If these Western PA #'s don't change, it will be tough for Dubya. NOTE: Mrs. Horserace Blog says CNN speculates Maine's last EV might go to Bush. posted by Jay @ 9:49 PM 12 comments WI Update Bush in lead in SW Wisconsin 52.1% to 47.9%. In 2000, he lost it to Gore by about 3 1/2%. Bush slightly up in NE Wisconsin -- 52.1% 47.9%. This actually amounts to a 1.8% net boost for Kerry relative to Gore (NE WI went heavily for Nader in 2000)...results still very, very early... Bush up 11% in Western WI relative to 2000. He is doing better in St. Croix and Saulk. Still very, very early... SE WI still too early to say...Bush looks good, but no data from Madison, WI yet.