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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: KyrosL who wrote (55540)11/4/2004 12:18:26 PM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Wow, that's really defensive. Looks like you are anticipating some great bargains to show up in six months or less.

In some ways, that's even more defensive than being net short...

Looks like you are ready for bird flu AND meteor impact...

All kidding aside, are expecting something worse than an ordinary recession ? I could easily buy a recession caused by high energy prices.



To: KyrosL who wrote (55540)11/4/2004 9:06:22 PM
From: Taikun  Respond to of 74559
 
Kyros,

Nice one.

I'm 65% cash, bullion and paper PMs. The cash is Yen, SFr, Euro, AUD but mostly CAD. I've been very short USD since the spring, and very long CAD and Yen.

I've been increasing physical gold and silver bullion significantly. (Yes, even at these prices) Now if I can find more good places to store it all!

The remaining equities are primarily oil and gold, although I pulled back on oil recently. I am increasing my PM positions by 20% at present.

If I add anything else to my portfolio it will be physical: Dried food.

Now, if gold will just break out to the upside I might crest your 66%...although I make that wish with a certain amount of trepidation.

David



To: KyrosL who wrote (55540)11/17/2004 12:36:45 PM
From: KyrosL  Respond to of 74559
 
Increased cash to 69% of portfolio this morning. Sold DROOY (but kept NTO) and also sold relatively small parts of the other stocks and bonds across the board to achieve 69% cash.

I think there are now better than even odds for stagflation in the US that may infect the rest of the world too.