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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (151025)11/16/2004 1:48:03 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 281500
 
Rice and No Beans
______________________________

Posted by James Wolcott
Vanity Fair Contributing Editor
jameswolcott.com

It is fitting and proper that Condi Rice replace Colin Powell as Secretary of State. Putting a black face on the rock formation of white arrogance and prerogative represented by Bush-Cheney-Rumsfeld-et-al shows a shrewd consistency. But the face that Powell fronted for Bush's diplomatic charades was an open, amiable, somewhat ambiguous one. It offered the faint hope that someone in the administration could be reasoned with and would convey allies' concerns back to the Cowboy Jesus, that there was at least one listener in the bunch.

That illusion is gone. Rice's face is the game face of the Bushies, bony with Unwavering Resolve, eyes fanatical, mouth tensed. She has shown herself to be not a listener but a dictation machine on playback. "The President believes..." "The President has always said..." "The President has very consistent in arguing that..." "The President has said all along..." And now the dictation machine is in a position to dictate to other nations how they can fight terror and help make America a bigger, better empire. It'll be the President wants this, the President wants that, the President is firm in his belief that...

But her incompetence precedes her, as does her presumptuous statement that for their failure to support the U.S. in Iraq, France should be punished, Germany ignored, and Russia forgiven. Punished, ignored, and forgiven for being right in the first place and refusing to take part in this debacle?--such nerve.

As America gets more militarized and messianic under Bush, it's being economically and diplomatically outmaneuvered by the rest of the world. China is exploiting the US obsession with terrorism and Iraq to consolidate power and influence in Asia, and cutting lucrative oil deals with Iran. New Europe is bailing out of its troop commitments in Iraq. And the continuing humiliation of Tony Blair, who was twitted by Jacques Chirac for getting nothing in return for his steadfastness over Iraq ("I am not sure it is in the nature of our American friends at the moment to return favors systematically"), probably hastens the day when Britain says enough and throws in its lot with Europe and the Euro rather than be dragged into another bloody folly.

So farewell, Colin Powell, for whom no tears should be shed. (Roger Ailes is quite eloquent on the subject.) He's getting out before Iraq completely unwinds and will make millions off of whatever memoir he composes to pretty up his place in history.

I can exclusively report what finally drove Powell over the brink. Yes, he was bummed by years of being backstabbed by the neocon hawks, most of whom spent Vietnam masturbating in their dorm rooms. But the last straw was seeing and hearing Thomas Friedman on Tim Russert's CNBC weekend show, channeling Bush's voice to advocate that Powell devote himself exclusively to negotiating a peace deal between the Palestinians and Israelis--that he be dispatched to the Middle East deal and not to be allowed to return home until he had one, even if it took a year.

Powell put aside his peanut butter sandwich, muted the remote, pondered all those airplane rides and diplomatic meals, and said to himself, "I'm too old for that shit." And the next morning tendered his resignation.

Yet another Tom Friedman dream-scheme thwarted.

11.16.04 11:54AM



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (151025)11/19/2004 6:23:10 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 281500
 
'The Republican Party's risky leap of faith'
____________________________________________

By Brian Derdowski, Seattle Times

The Republican Party should be worried. Very worried.

The Bush administration and its congressional majority won't deliver what their base expects, and even if they did, the consequences could sweep the GOP from power for a generation.

Take Roe v. Wade. The current Supreme Court is believed to support that landmark abortion-rights case 6-3.

Most informed observers wonder if the Bush administration will really be able to change the court enough to overturn that decision, especially when you consider that the ailing chief justice, William Rehnquist, is one of the three opponents.

The Bush administration has a relatively brief window to appoint and confirm new justices before its eventual lame-duck status puts a damper on its political capital.

But what if the Supreme Court were to reverse Roe v. Wade?

I had a candid conversation with a well-connected Republican political strategist about the abortion debate in this country. An anti-choice activist himself, he nevertheless observed that the last thing Republican political strategists want is to overturn Roe v Wade.

Such an event would spark 50 battles on this issue in 50 states, lasting at least a generation. As states each adopted their own abortion laws, the red-blue map would likely change dramatically, and the party responsible for creating that mess would truly "inherit the wind," along with minority status.

President Bush has promised to appoint strict-constructionist judges to the federal judiciary, but will he?

The framers of the Constitution put strict limits on the powers of the federal government and particularly on the executive branch. Strict-constructionist federal judges would presumably give states more power to regulate commerce, set educational standards, control immigration and determine their own moral climate. They would probably also frown on intrusions by the executive branch into our libraries, medical records and bedrooms.

Strict-constructionist judges aren't the panacea that cultural conservatives, laissez-faire corporatists and anti-terrorism hawks think they are. In fact, much of the current Republican public-policy agenda is in direct conflict with the strict-constructionist legal tradition.

The last thing corporate backers of the GOP want is a profound change in the nation's moral climate and values, or a power shift to the states that a strict-constructionist judiciary would create.

After all, Norman Rockwell's virtuous society doesn't spend a lot of money on fancy cars, vacations to exotic places and other luxuries. Global corporate oligarchies don't appreciate red-state notions of local economic power and states' rights. There are historic and obvious conflicts between religious and family values and our consumer society of excess.

The Republican Party may claim to be America's moral compass, but it is financed by interests with a very different agenda. When the corporate elite isn't figuring out how to mislead investors or scam the marketplace, it is peddling its bare-midriff teenybopper fashions and one-idea-fits-all media monopolies.

The real power base of the Republican Party isn't all those well-intentioned people in the nation's conservative pews; the real power brokers are the corporate and financial interests that have supported the party for a hundred years.

Religious cultural conservatives, flush with a sense of victory, should be cautious about their political entanglements. The foundation of religious freedom is its transcendence over secular governments. The danger to religion of being allied too closely to a particular political power is that it may lose its moral authority and ultimately be corrupted, or discredited, by the political process.

Anyone who has witnessed firsthand the corrosive influence of indiscriminate fund raising, sound bites, power-brokering and Faustian compromise can attest to the corrupting potential of politics. History instructs that religious/political orders are more likely to succumb to these temptations than to set the body politic onto the path of righteousness.

Even more worrisome to religious/political activists should be the potential of weakening their greatest mission by aligning themselves too closely with a particular set of politicians or policies.

What if the sincere prayers of millions of faithful for a Bush victory are answered with some scandal or profound policy setback? Talk about voter alienation! And what of the concern that many people who disagree with what they perceive as the politics of the church may harden their hearts to the church's fundamental spiritual message?

Over the next four years, we may well experience a political earthquake caused by a collision of two tectonic plates of the Republican Party.

For its part, the "Moral Majority" may soon discover that the "Party of Principle" has misused its faith to promote a political and economic agenda instead of the locally empowered, spiritual society that it so fervently desires.

And for their part, the neocons and global laissez-faire corporatists may finally be forced to answer to the long-term moral implications of their pursuit of wealth and power.

Copyright © 2004 The Seattle Times Company



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (151025)4/1/2005 8:06:02 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
Energy Insanity
__________________

By Molly Ivins, AlterNet. Posted March 29, 2005.

As a general rule about Bush & Co., the more closely a policy is associated with Dick Cheney, the worse it is. Which brings us to energy policy – remember his secret task force? In the long history of monumentally bad ideas, the Cheney policy is a standout for reasons of both omission and commission. Dumb, dumber and dumbest.

Ponder this: Next year, the administration will phase out the $2,000 tax credit for buying a hybrid vehicle, which gets over 50 miles per gallon, but will leave in place the $25,000 tax write-off for a Hummer, which gets 10-12 mpg. That's truly crazy, and that's truly what the whole Cheney energy policy is.

According to the Energy Information Administration in the Department of Energy, last year's energy bill (same as this one) would cost taxpayers at least $31 billion, do nothing about the projected over-80 percent increase in America's imports of foreign oil by 2025, and increase gasoline prices. (Since every bureaucrat who tells the truth in this administration – about the cost of the drug bill or the safety of Vioxx – seems to get the ax, I'm probably getting those folks in trouble.)

The bill is loaded with corporate giveaways and tax breaks for big oil. Meanwhile, Bush's budget cuts funding for renewable energy research and programs, and anyone who tells you different is lying.

Now, here's the Catch-22 we get with this administration: It is using the exact language of the bill's critics – stealing it wholesale and using it to promote its bill. It's our friend Frank Luntz, the Republican pollster who specializes in "framing" issues (framing means the same thing as spinning, and in the non-political world it is known as lying), at work again. Luntz put out a memo in January: "Eight Energy Communication Guidelines for 2005" telling R's how to talk about energy using language people like.

The Natural Resources Defense Council found a Bush speech on energy on March 9 in Ohio that parrots Luntz's suggestions to a laughable point – threat to national security, diversity of supply, innovation, conservation and (my fave) Point 4, "The key principle is 'responsible energy exploration.' And remember, it's NOT drilling for oil. It's responsible energy exploration."

So there was Bush, as per Luntz's memo, talking about "environmentally responsible exploration" and announcing one of his top energy objectives is "to diversify our energy supply by developing alternative sources of energy." Polling shows 70 percent of Americans support a drastic increase in government spending on renewable energy sources.

I'm tired of arguing about whether Bush is so ignorant he doesn't know that he is cutting alternative energy programs and subsidizing oil companies or so fiendishly clever that he knows and doesn't care what he says. In the end, it doesn't make any difference. You get wretched policy either way.

The Apollo Project, a sensible outfit dedicated to reducing America's dependence on foreign oil, says 90 percent of Americans support its goal of energy independence. Bracken Hendricks, the executive director, points out that there is "remarkable agreement among many so-called strange bedfellows – labor and business, environmentalists and evangelicals, governors and generals, urbanites and farmers."

Meanwhile, what we are sticking with is soaring oil prices (ExxonMobil just reported the highest quarterly profit ever, $8.42 billion, by an American company) and declining discoveries. Several oil companies are reporting disappearing reserves, and Royal Dutch/Shell admitted it had overstated its reserves by 20 percent last year.

Nor are the major oil companies spending their mammoth profits on exploration or field development – they're doing mega-mergers and stock buybacks. ExxonMobil spent $9.95 billion to buy back its own stock in 2004. The Chinese and the Indians are now buying cars like mad, and the result is going to be an enormous supply crunch, sooner rather than later.

It is possible with existing technology to build a car that gets 500 miles per gallon, but the Bushies won't even raise the CAFÉ (fuel efficiency) standards for cars coming out now. The trouble with the Bush plan to develop hydrogen cars is that while you can get hydrogen out of water, you have put energy in to get it out, so there's a net energy loss.

Conservation is simply the cheapest and most effective way of addressing this problem. If you put a tax on carbon, it would move industry to wind or solar power. Wind power here in Texas is at the tipping point now – comparably priced. Our health, our environment, our economy and the globe itself would all benefit from a transition to renewable energy sources.

And as Tom Friedman recently pointed out, it would do a lot for world peace, too: "By doing nothing to lower U.S. oil consumption, we are financing both sides in the war on terrorism and strengthening the worst governments in the world. That is, we are financing the U.S. military with our tax dollars and we are financing the jihadists – and the Saudi, Sudanese and Iranian mosques and charities that support them – through our gasoline purchases."

alternet.org



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (151025)4/2/2005 11:59:21 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 281500
 
Curveball the Goofball
________________________

By MAUREEN DOWD
Columnist
The New York Times
April 3, 2005

I had an editor once whose wife was in the Audubon Society. There were a lot of articles about birds in that newspaper.

I had an editor once who loved fishing. There were a lot of articles about fish in that newspaper.

Organizations organically respond to please the boss. Bosses naturally surround themselves with people who tell them what they want to hear.

When King Lear's favorite daughter spoke frankly to him, and refused to fawn like her sisters, she was instantly banished. Insincerity pays.

It is absurd to have yet another investigation into the chuckleheaded assessments on Saddam's phantom W.M.D. that intentionally skirts how the $40 billion-a-year intelligence was molded and manufactured to fit the ideological schemes of those running the White House and Pentagon.

As the commission's co-chairman, Laurence Silberman, put it: "Our executive order did not direct us to deal with the use of intelligence by policy makers, and all of us were agreed that that was not part of our inquiry."

Huh? That's like an investigation into steroids in baseball that looks only at the drug companies, not the players who muscled up.

We don't need a 14-month inquiry producing 601 pages at a cost of $10 million to tell us the data on arms in Iraq was flawed. We know that. When we got over there, we didn't find any.

This is the fourth exhaustive investigation that has not answered the basic question: How did the White House and Pentagon spin the information and why has no one gotten in trouble for it? If your kid lied and hid stuff from you to do something he thought would be great, then wouldn't admit it and blamed someone else, he'd be punished - even if his adventure worked out all right for him.

When the "values" president and his aides do it, they're rewarded. Condoleezza Rice was promoted to secretary of state. Stephen Hadley, Condi's old deputy, was promoted to national security adviser. Bob Joseph, a national security aide who helped shovel the uranium hooey into the State of the Union address, is becoming an under secretary of state. Paul Wolfowitz, who painted the takeover of Iraq as such a cakewalk that our troops went in without the proper armor or backup, will run the World Bank. George Tenet, who ran the C.I.A. when Al Qaeda attacked and when Saddam's mushroom cloud gained credibility, got the Medal of Freedom.

Then the president appoints a compliant Democrat and a complicit conservative judge to head an inquiry set up to let the president off the hook.

Please, no more pantomime investigations. We all know what happened. Dick Cheney and the neocons had a fever to sack Saddam. Mr. Cheney and Rummy persuaded W., "the Man," that it was the manly thing to do. Everybody feigned a 9/11 connection. Ahmad Chalabi conned his neocon pals, thinking he could run Iraq if he gave the Bush administration the smoking gun it needed to sell the war.

Suddenly Curveball appeared, the relative of an aide to Mr. Chalabi, to become the lone C.I.A. source with the news that Iraq was cooking up biological agents in mobile facilities hidden from arms inspectors and Western spies. Curveball's obviously sketchy assertions ended up in Mr. Tenet's October 2002 National Intelligence Estimate and Colin Powell's U.N. speech in February 2003, laying the groundwork for an invasion of Iraq.

Curveball's information was used to justify the war even though it was clear Curveball was a goofball. As the commission report notes, a Defense Department employee at the C.I.A. met with him and "was concerned by Curveball's apparent 'hangover' during their meeting" and suspicious that Curveball spoke excellent English, even though the Foreign Service had told U.S. intelligence officials that Curveball did not speak English.

By early 2001, the C.I.A. was receiving messages from our Foreign Service, reporting that Curveball was "out of control" and off the radar. A foreign intelligence service also warned the C.I.A. in April 2002 that it had "doubts about Curveball's reliability" and that elements of the tippling tipster's behavior "strike us as typical of individuals we would normally assess as fabricators."

But Curveball's crazy assertions had traction because they were what the White House wanted to hear.

The report warns the president to watch out for the "headstrong" intelligence agencies. If only the commission had concerned itself with headstrong officials at a higher level. Then its 601 pages would be worth reading.

nytimes.com