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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RealMuLan who wrote (55680)11/7/2004 1:19:24 AM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 74559
 
Wow. Thanks for the detailed explanation.

There is a need for a Dun& Bradstreet / credit rating function - I would bet these "importers" are going from one factory to the next. Maybe the Bank of China, HK government, HSBC could do this service... track and validate importers.

So real importers who pay their bills have to compete with "importers" who don't.

Also means less domestic demand in China because workers are not paid.

Lower demand for imported capital equipment.

******

And we can bet some of this stolen money is going to finance drug trade and possibly terrorism...

******

There's still some spare prison space in the US - but I wouldn't be surprised if many of these crooks operate out third countries with numerous cut-outs....

What's the response of the US & China governments to this ?



To: RealMuLan who wrote (55680)11/7/2004 1:25:43 AM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 74559
 
2002 Forbes article -

forbesimg.com

This reminds me of a company called Media Vision...



To: RealMuLan who wrote (55680)11/7/2004 2:10:02 AM
From: smolejv@gmx.net  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
good stuff.

from
fiducia-china.com

Regarding accounting in China there are several areas which require special attendance:

Account Receivables in order to make big sales

The frontline goal of many trading affiliated managers is to please headquarter with impressive sales figures. In nine out of ten cases, such companies don’t set any credit limit to their customers. It’s very common to find in their books that half of the account receivables are older than 180 days.
....

Excessive storage of goods

Due to long delivery lead times, limited logistic services, and currency restrictions, supply is of particular importance in China. A common way to solve this is advance purchases – the local management tries to hold as large amounts of inventory as possible.

...

Influence of Currency Changes

The liabilities to the headquarters tend to accumulate over time since many subsidiaries are in the red. Considering the huge base amount of these liabilities, a slight exchange rate fluctuation might cost companies a fortune.

...



To: RealMuLan who wrote (55680)11/7/2004 3:31:43 AM
From: brian h  Respond to of 74559
 
Changhong's case was not the first one. It will not be the last one. Japanese, Korean, Hong Kong and Taiwanese companies have gone through the same paths. Those companies follow the right business rules to conduct their businesses without problems. There is nothing wrong with a "export driven economy model" until there is no need. China needs it badly now. Changhong did not have a capable sales and marketing rep. itself. The company has to rely on a middleman (Apex) to deal with a large company such as Wal Mart. Without the middleman (Apex), Wal Mart will not give its purchase orders to Changhong at all.

Did Jay do a pretty good job to be a middleman so far for most of the westerners who intent to invest in China companies? I thought you thought so.

It was China's system that has a problem. Ni and those high ranking CCP people are the ones who benefited and should be blamed. Average Chinense are the ones who suffer. Not you of course.

----------------------------------------------
Ni Runfeng's Heritage

By staff reporter Zhang Fan and intern reporter Li Weina
Ni Runfeng left Changhong at the worst of times. After twenty years at the helm of China's biggest television set maker, Ni, 60, was officially removed from his post as head of the state-owned Sichuan Changhong Group on July 8.

Multiple crises have brought the electronics giant to one of its lowest points in recent years. Anti-dumping tariffs imposed by the United States, Changhong's biggest export market, have sent Changhong's exports plummeting. Price wars in the domestic market have seriously eroded the profit margin of projection color TV's, Changhong's latest star product. Delays in payments from Apex Digital, Inc., a major US importer of Changhong products, further threaten to slow Changhong's cash flow to a halt.

The provincial government and Communist Party leadership of Sichuan, who announced Ni's departure on July 8, cited age as the only reason he was leaving. State policies decree that top leaders of state-owned enterprises should not continue to serve in those positions past the age of 60.

Analysts say the most recent woes may seriously mar the legacy of this charismatic businessman who was once regarded as the soul of Changhong, a hero who steered the company through many crises and made it a national leader in consumer electronics. Ni was unavailable to comment for this story.

In April, the United States Department of Commerce slapped 24.48% import duties on Changhong-made TV sets. This has taken a heavy toll on Changhong's exports.

Customs figures for May show that no TV sets were exported from Mianyang, Sichuan province, where Changhong is based. In April, the figure totaled 72,379.

Liu Haizhong, a spokesman for Changhong, told Caijing in a recent interview that the company's exports totaled more than US$ 200 million for the first half of 2004. During all of last year exports totaled US$ 600 million. Exports are usually stronger in the second half of the year, he said.

Liu, speaking earlier this year, said that Changhong sold a total of 12 million color TV's in 2003, one third of which were exported, including one million to the US.

Analysts say Changhong's revenue from color TV sales this year could drop as much as 10 percent, from a record of 11.1 billion yuan (US$ 1.34 billion) in 2003.
Crumbling to the ground was not only Changhong's US-bound exports, but also its once highly profitable partnership with its major US buyer.

Changhong entered into cooperation with the Ontario, California-based Apex in 2001, when, after an eight-month sabbatical, Ni returned to lead Changhong. At the time, price wars caused by an oversupply of TV's in the domestic market had driven profit margins to very low levels.

Apex, started by two Chinese-Americans in 1997, has specialized in importing cheap Chinese-made household electronic products into the US market. In the deal with Changhong, Apex bought large quantities of color TV's, relabeled them under its own name, and sold them at Wal-Mart.

The cooperation gave Changhong's then sagging sales a shot in the arm: in 2002, the company reported a total of 12.58 billion yuan (US$ 1.52 billion) in sales from its core business, a hike of 32.27% from the previous year. Export value grew six-fold year-on-year to reach 5.54 billion yuan (US$ 669 million).

As Changhong's revenue shot through the roof, however, huge outstanding payments left increasingly large gaps in its books. Annual financial reports show that in 2002, Apex owed 3.83 billion yuan (US$ 463 million) to Changhong. The figure had grown to 4.44 billion yuan (US$ 536 million) a year later.

The overdue payments slowed Changhong's cash flow and forced it to take out large short-term bank loans, the total of which rose from 85 million yuan (US$ 10.27 million) in 2001 to 2.7 billion yuan (US$ 326.09 million) in 2003.

Both Changhong and Apex declined to comment on their business relationship.

A spokesman for Ji Longfen, Apex's president, said on July 13 that Ji has declined all requests for interviews because "he keeps a very low profile." But Ji gave four interviews to Caijing in March 2003 alone, offering detailed information about the ongoing cooperation between the two firms.

Changhong spokesman Liu Haizhong cited the transition between the departing leadership and the incoming one and refused to offer comments. "Once the handover is completed, the new leadership will make arrangements [regarding the Apex deal)," he said. "It is unavoidable."

Sources say that Ni's firm-handed governing of the Apex account is partly to blame for the straits the company now finds itself in. Changhong's fast-growing overseas marketing department reported directly to Ni in the last few years, with no oversight or supervision from other organs of the group, says one source who wished to remain anonymous.

The impacts from what appears to be a failing deal with Apex, however, may not hurt Changhong as seriously as expected, says another source. Apex now owes Changhong a total of 2 billion yuan (US$ 241.55 million), or less than half of the amount of last year, says the source.

caijing.com.cn

This article was from China.

BH



To: RealMuLan who wrote (55680)11/10/2004 4:17:47 AM
From: Raymond Duray  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Yiwu,

$100 Billion in dubious accounts receivables is a stunning figure.

To put that into perspective, the adjusted value of imports from China to the U.S. for 2003 was $143 Billion. Assuming $40 Billion of the bad debt was accrued in 2003, then 28% of this business is being done without payment. Holy Cow!

Source: uschina.org

Do you happen to have any URLs to cite backing up this $100 Billion bad debt figure? I don't seem to be able to Google up this information. Thanks for any reply. :)

-Ray