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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: MulhollandDrive who wrote (15162)11/8/2004 4:03:14 PM
From: GraceZ  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
Everybody reads charts, just not everybody talks about them. Mostly I use money flow analysis and fundamental analysis.

Interest rates are one of those few things that exhibit an aversion to the mean, in other words the probability is higher that they will continue in the same direction than revert to the mean. That said, they still have trend changes and I think the down trend is already broken and I'm hedged accordingly. If I'm wrong, I'm positioned for that as well. The difference between me and others is that I don't think they will go far enough to cause major damage. Expectation for inflation is still very low.