To: zonder who wrote (15213 ) 11/9/2004 11:35:00 AM From: mishedlo Respond to of 116555 Is Brown bragging here? Is this similar to Greenspan bragging back in March? ============================================================== UK´s Brown says govt will meet its fiscal rules in this economic cycle UPDATE Tuesday, November 9, 2004 10:51:05 AMafxpress.com UK's Brown says govt will meet its fiscal rules in this economic cycle UPDATE (Updates with further comments) BIRMINGHAM, England (AFX) - Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown insisted today that the government will meet its so-called fiscal rules in this economic cycle despite ongoing concerns about the weakness of tax receipts Brown told business leaders here at the Confederation of British Industry's annual conference that the pre-budget report, expected to be delivered early next month, will not be marked by a pre-election giveaway "Britain cannot afford ever again to resort to the old short-termism, whether pre-election short-termism or any other form of short-termism," he said He said the government will stand firm against pressures to link pensions with earnings and will rein back the growth of government spending in the years ahead to bring public finances back onto a more even keel "As we slow the rate of growth of public spending, we will ... continue to meet all our fiscal rules in this cycle and the next," he said Though the government is expected to meet its sustainable investment rule that net debt stays below 40 pct of GDP, there are some doubts about whether it will meet its so-called 'golden rule' of balancing the budget, excluding investment, over the course of the economic cycle, expected to end in 2005/6 Lower than expected tax receipts and a pick-up in government spending in recent years mean the government has little margin for error At the half year stage, the public finances were no better than last year despite the Treasury's projections of a moderate improvement As a result, a number of City commentators are now predicting that taxes will have to rise in the next Parliament. The Conservative Party is likely to fight the next general election, expected to take place in the spring of next year, on supposed third-term tax rises a Labour government would have to enact to make the public finances healthierBrown once again took a side-swipe at the fiscal regime that governs countries in the EU signed up to the single currency "On fiscal policy generally I can tell you that we will learn from, and not repeat, the mistakes of the European Growth and Stability Pact, with its focus on an annual, not long term, perspective and its concern for short term deficits not long term debt," said Brown The Chancellor also said the granting of independence to the Bank of England has allowed the economy to weather the recent global economic downturn better than it would have done before It has also allowed the economy to cope with the difficulties associated with the doubling in oil prices over recent times "In any other decade, a doubling of oil prices would have led to expectations about higher inflation and then higher wage demands," he said "But today, the British people know that our inflation target and stability will be achieved," he added Brown also told the CBI conference that the government will use its time as president of the EU council of ministers to wage a war against unnecessary regulation by putting every costly and wasteful EU regulation to a competitiveness test