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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: michael97123 who wrote (151414)11/10/2004 3:36:55 PM
From: Sun Tzu  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 281500
 
I've always been in favor of splitting Iraq into 3 parts. It is the Persian Gulf equivalent of Yugoslavia; 3 different nations forced to form a single country because their neighbors would not want to deal with them separately. Here are the realpolitik problems with that solution:

* Israel would object to Sunni province going to Syria.
* Turkey would *strongly* object to an independent Kurdistan
* US will object to an independent Shia state.

However there are many merits to the idea. Firstly, shot-gun wedings, which is what Iraq is, never work. Trying to "nation build" Iraq out of these 3 states is like trying organ transplant operation of incompatible blood types.

Secondly, the solution brings stability to the country. For as long as I remember, the Kurds have rejected the idea of being part of Iraq. They speak a different language and have a different history, etc, etc. Sooner or later, you will see them serving their notice of departure (anyone who doubts it, should look at the early war photos from Kurdistan. Those flags are not the Iraqi flags the Kurds are waving). Meanwhile, the Sunnis would feel much more at home in Syria. They are mostly Ba'thists, just like Syrians. And the Shia will be happy to be rid of both of them. Baghdad should belong to the Shia. The reason there are Sunnis there is because it was the Capital and the Sunnis were in charge. Otherwise the Persian architecture of the old buildings there should tell you sunnis have little history there.