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Non-Tech : The Woodshed -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: re3 who wrote (16551)11/12/2004 6:06:31 PM
From: SwampDogg  Respond to of 60908
 
Some points on the market right here.

-Sentiment on CNBS is off the charts, looking for 12000+ etc
-Everybody looking for a rally through Xmas
-Everybody saying that the market is "breaking out"

The reality

-Daily RSI, STOCH and MACD extremely overbought
-$DOW right at the downtrend line off the ATH
-$SPX in the middle of major congestion zone 1170-1190
-$RUT at top of major megaphone pattern, very overbought
-FA just isn't that good
-Market just not going up that much to warrant such exuberence

Sure we can go higher into Xmas but this could be it right in here. Pretty well complete 5 waves up out of 10/04 low that could complete truncated 5th. Should get a pretty good selloff this coming week. Volume will tell if the top is in.
This feels a lot like the blowoffs in 2001-02. Could be different this time but probably not.



To: re3 who wrote (16551)11/12/2004 10:50:31 PM
From: nspolar  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 60908
 
When you gonna poot Ebay again?

I don't know if I have the cajones.

Everytime I get a big idea, it turns to shit. Should have just sat.