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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: LindyBill who wrote (85991)	11/13/2004 10:14:20 PM
From: Dayuhan	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 793841

the only solution other than appeasement of the Mullahs is to actively try to undermine them. I assume that we are trying to do that. It won't work without organized people inside Iran who are willing to take considerable risks. The Iranian opposition has been consistently disappointing, and has been very quiescent lately. Massive oil revenues don't help: that gives them money to spread around, which encourages complacency. That regime will fall sooner or later, but they will have plenty of time to make a mess. I don't think they have any intention of nuking Tel Aviv, which would certainly draw a devastating response. I know all about the rhetoric, but I don't believe a word of it. They don't want to die. I think they see it as a deterrent to military action, one would enable them to pursue their own ends much more aggressively. My guess is that their medium-term goal is to dominate a Shiite sphere of influence including Iran, Iraq, and the Shiite provinces of Saudi Arabia. They are actually well on track in that direction. A lot of Americans haven't figured it out yet, but once the Iraqi election is done, the Iranians will have as much influence on the Constitutional process as we do, and maybe more.