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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Brinks who wrote (20051)11/14/2004 4:55:31 PM
From: Ed Ajootian  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78566
 
Brinks, great post, thanks for the PM alerting me to this.

I have a sour taste in my mouth regarding China CBM plays, with my experience with Far East Energy (FEEQ on the OTCBB).

Its curious how you chose this board to post this; from where I sit this stock is about as far as you can possibly get from being a "value" investment, at least in the classic Graham sense.

Good luck with it, I may look at it but I will probably pass on it.



To: Brinks who wrote (20051)11/15/2004 5:41:01 PM
From: Ed Ajootian  Respond to of 78566
 
Brinks, My prior post had a wrong ticker, Far East Energy is FEEC, not FEEQ.

Hey schzammm, great post.



To: Brinks who wrote (20051)11/20/2004 9:57:24 AM
From: Brinks  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78566
 
Just to follow up on my post exactly one week ago on Storm Cat Energy:

Here is what happened this week:

finance.yahoo.com

Risk was substantially reduced when they announced acquistion of production in the Powder River Basin of Wyoming this past week. They also announced a Alaska acquisition. Thus revenues will begin which will enable the company to list on the Toronto exchange and get better exposure.

I am going to post the elevator pitch one last time. Note what Schaefer said on Thursday at the very bottom. I like elevator pitches because I can do due diligence very quickly on the named company. Plus it summarizes my thinking of why I believe this is a outstanding investment opportunity. I did the same thing here when I posted a elevator pitch on net-net Dixon Ticongeroga some time ago. I wish more people here would post elevator pitches so all can see the due dilgence they have done and their thought process on the selection.

The market cap of Storm Cat is still very tiny. We have only begun. Thank you for allowing me to share here. Value? What is 12 million acres of coalbed methane acres in Mongolia worth? What is a CEO like Zimmerman worth? Why CBM? No dry holes for one. To what extent is the acquisition of production reduce risk?

New Coalbed Methane Company--Wyoming-Canada-Alaska-Mongolia (China)

The September 30, 2004 $ 2.1 BILLION acquisition of Evergreen Resources, a leader in CBM technology, by Pioneer Natural Resources created this opportunity.

Evergreen's Vice President of Operations and Engineering, Scott Zimmerman, age 48, was out of a job. His annual CBM drilling budget at Evergreen was approximately $ 200 million!!!!!!!!

Scott spent from 1982 to 2002 with private JM Huber heading up their large CBM properties. He earned only a salary during that period. At Evergreen he was third in command but did not have the stock holdings that the other two had. Zimmerman was now very hungry to build his own major CBM company.

On October 19, 2004, less than one month after the Evergreen acquisition, Scott Zimmerman joined tiny ($ 30 million market cap) Storm Cat Energy (SME or SMEFF in US) as CEO and President. He has immense CBM expertise developed over 22 years. Mr. Zimmerman's references have stated he is "the BEST CBM operator in the COUNTRY."

This is a China Play also in that Storm Cat controls 12 million acres of Coalbed Methane in Mongolia. In addition the company recently acquired production in the Wyoming Powder River Basin and thus now has revenues.

Struther's Resource/Tech Alert V10 #10.6 SME Nov 16, 2004
PO Box 1020 Owen Sound, Ontario, Canada N4K 6H6
resource@bmts.com Yearly subscription $185 cdn/year $149 US

Web Site "http://www.playstocks.net" Phone-519-374-9332

I have decided to send this alert out now and will have my complete report in December and will feature a new gold stock this month.

Storm Cat Energy TSXV:SME SMEFF U.S.

Shares outstanding 12.0 million approx. Very small market cap.

There is 3 main reasons to buy this stock

Management, management and management

The next 2 reasons are the huge gas potential of their Mongolia property and: Management's connections will mean some excellent acquisitions in North America such as the one announced Monday. The key thing to understand about Storm Cat is the management expertise that is assembled for this tiny junior company is as good or better than what you would find in the best senior oil&gas companies. Storm Cat has extensive expertise in Coal Bed Methane (CBM). In the current market environment of high natural gas prices and the dwindling supply of conventional gas supplies, CBM is an area that will receive a lot of focus in the years ahead. Storm Cat's personal have plenty of experience in developing CBM projects in the U.S., but the CBM potential in Canada is just in its infancy. I expect Storm Catwill pick up CBM projects in Canada as well as in the U.S., on top of the giant Mongolia project they already have.

Management

The company was formed in 2000 to focus on producing oil and gas from unconventional reservoirs: tight sandstones, coal seams, and organic rich shales, the company says on its website, www.stormcatenergy.com. These are reservoirs that have been neglected in many parts of the world, as they require extensive technical knowledge from both geological and engineering perspectives

On Oct. 19 the company announced that one of its directors, Scott Zimmerman of Denver, has been named president of the company. Until recently, Zimmerman was vice president of operations and engineering for Denver-based Evergreen Resources Inc. Evergreen Resources, a Rockies-based coalbed methane producer, has been working a coalbed methane prospect in the Matanuska-Susitna Borough north of Anchorage. Pioneer Natural Resources acquired Evergreen in May, and Storm Cat invited Zimmerman to lead Storm Cat Energy in expanding the company's coalbed methane projects and initiatives in North America and Asia, the company said.

Scott Zimmerman had twenty years of service with J.M. Huber and then two with Evergreen. Mr. Zimmerman spent 20 years specializing in CBNG exploration and development in the Rocky Mountain region, with emphasis on the San Juan and Powder River Basins. Prior to J.M. Huber, Mr. Zimmerman was the Senior Production & Reservoir Engineer with Amoco Production Company. Mr. Zimmerman received a BS in Petroleum Engineer from Texas Tech University in 1979 and is a member of the Society of Petroleum Engineers.

Brian Mahood is a senior exploration and development geologist with over 34 years experience in the Canadian petroleum industry. Mr. Mahood obtained a Bachelor of Science (Geology) degree from the University of British Columbia in 1970 and completed the majority of a Master of Business Administration from the University of Calgary. He has held intermediate and senior management positions with both junior and senior oil and gas companies. Mr. Mahood has extensive experience in conventional and coalbed methane exploration and development geology, acquisition and divestiture of properties, horizontal well feasibility studies, project economics and the management of exploration strategy, programs and budgets. He was a member of the Alberta Department of Energy 2001 Coalbed Methane Economics

Sub-Committee.

Yaro Horachek is President of Geo-ing Resource Consulting Ltd. He has 30 years of experience in Coal exploration, Coal-bed methane exploration and evaluation, development, and planning of Coal deposits in western Canada and internationally. His experience with industry and government includes Shell Oil, Energy Utility Board of Alberta, Alberta and British Columbia governments, and numerous oil and gas and mining companies.

Dr. Bereskin, director is President of Bereskin and Associates Inc. He has 20 years of experience consulting in the petroleum industry domestically and internationally, most of which involve coal bed methane and tight gas operations. Importantly, Dr. Bereskin is a pioneer in recent technological advances of shale gas production in the United States, such as the Barnett shale. He is also currently an adjunct professor at the University of Utah, responsible for teaching courses in petroleum geology.

Technical Advisory Board

The Advisory board is made up of 4 members that include:

Dr. John Seidle has more than twenty years experience in unconventional gas, primarily in coalbed methane. As a Senior Reservoir Engineer with Sproule Associates, Inc in Denver, Colorado, he is involved in the technical and economic aspects of coalbed methane exploration, production, and enhanced recovery and teaches an industry short course on CBM. His extensive experience includes US, Canadian, and several international coal basins. He received his Ph.D. in Mechanical Engineering from the University of Colorado and is a Registered Professional Engineer in Oklahoma, Colorado, and Wyoming. He has authored nineteen technical papers and has been awarded six patents.

Dr. R. Marc Bustin is professor of petroleum and coal geology in the Department of Earth and Ocean Sciences at the University of British Columbia (UBC) and president of RMB Earth Science Consultants and a principal of CBM Solutions Ltd. He has over 30 years experience in the petroleum sector, with broad experience in the realm of fossil fuels both in research and in his consultancy practice. His professionalexperience includes employment by Mobil Oil Canada, Gulf Canada Resources (prior to joining UBC) and subsequently one year with Elf-Aquitaine (France), CSIRO (France) and CNRS (Australia). Dr. Bustin has published over 150 scientific articles on fossil fuels.

Properties

Mongolia exploration ---China Connection

The company is about to become a production company with news of a new acquisition, but most important is their actively in Mongolia, where they signed a production sharing contract with the Petroleum Authority of Mongolia in February, an agreement ratified by the government of Mongolia in May. The agreement requires a minimum commitment of US$4.8 million over a five-year term and allows for the exploration and development of natural gas from coal. Storm Cat said Oct. 21 that it completed a planned surface mapping project this summer in Southern Gobi in Mongolia, and then began stratigraphic drilling in the Narlin Sikhait region of southern Mongolia, collecting continuous core samples from eight exploratory holes.

Storm Cat said it cored important coal accumulation of more than 41 meters in total thickness, occurring in as many as 10 separate seams. Most drilling depths were limited to 150 meters due to mechanical constraints of the cost-effective Mongolian rig. The company said it designed the shallow drilling locations to sub-parallel the coal exposures along the 70 kilometer length of the Narlin Sukrait thrust fault.

To put the next paragraph in perspective, coal seams with a thickness of just 1 meter (3 feet) can be economic to develop. Storm Cat’s coalbeds in Mongolia consist of at least nine coal seams lying on top of each other. The thickest individual coal seam is over 250 feet thick! This is over double the thickness of the thickest and richest coal seams in the entire United States and this is only one coal seam out nine known to exist.

Storm Cat said seven of these eight exploratory wells encountered substantial amounts of coal. Management concluded the eighth well bore was simply unable to reach the coal-bearing intervals due to the depth restrictions of the small drilling rig.

A larger drilling rig from another driller is moving into selected locations where up to three wells will be drilled and cores taken down to 900 meters south of the Narlin Sukhait thrust fault, where gas content work will evaluatethe gas richness of the various coal seams, Storm Cat said. A North American gas content or desorption company Hampton, Waechter & Associates is assisting with data collection and is providing gas content measurements. These deeper tests will also attempt to document the occurrence of coal
cleating, Storm Cat said.

Storm Cat said Oct. 28 that it has agreed in principle with the Petroleum Authority of Mongolia to negotiate terms of a formal joint exploration agreement covering coal deposits which the company believes may contain natural gas. It is also important to note that China is developing a new gas
pipeline that will run near the project area, so any gas foundcan be brought to market in the not too distant future.

While Mongolia is important, I expect Mr. Zimmerman he is going to focus on Wyoming and also in Canada. Mongolia is huge (12 million acres) and potentially contains 3 to 7 trillion cubic feet of gas, but this may turn out to be just the icing on the cake. They will probably do a JV in Mongolia and then focus their resources in the areas that Zimmerman knows in the U.S. and Canada.

Storm Cat is already in negotiations for acquisitions in Western Canada. The Western Canadian operations are headed up by the talented Brian Mahood and Mike O’byrne. Brian is a 30 year veteran of the Western Canadian oil & gas scene specializing in coalbed methane opportunities for StormCat. Mike O’byrne is a well-respected landman that has worked in Western Canada all his life.

Wyoming, 1481 acres

On November 15th Storm Cat announced the acquisition of a 100-per-cent working interest (81.5-per-cent net interest) in 1,481 acres of the Jamison/North Twenty Mile fields located in Campbell county, Wyoming. Geologically, these fields are located on the eastern flank of the Powder River basin coal bed natural gas region.

Originally placed in production in early 2002, these fields are currently producing at a rate of approximately one million cubic feet per day of natural gas from 28 producing wells. The current production derives from the Anderson and Canyon coal seams, with gross and net proven reserves of 1.148 billion cubic feet and 0.842 billion cubic feet,respectively, and gross and net probable reserves of 3.231 billion cubic feet and 2.37 billion cubic feet, respectively. The reserve estimates were provided by Sproule Associates in Denver, Colo.

In consideration of the acquisition, the company has paid $1.25-million (U.S.) for the properties. The effective date of the transaction is Dec. 1, 2004.

A total of six coal seams exist in the area, including the Anderson and Canyon. The company believes two of the lower coal seams, the Cook and the Wall, provide sufficient thickness to warrant testing and development through the drilling of new wells. In addition, the company feels the Smith coal seam is a good candidate for recompletion of certain existing wells, but no reserves were attributed to it in the Sproule analysis.

Financial

As of June 30 2004 the company had $1.1 million in cash and no long term debt. A $3.4 million financing was announced on November 1st.

Summary

I expect further acquisitions will help push the stock higher along with positive exploration results in Mongolia and North American properties.

I believe that the management behind this company intends on building a substantial oil& gas company focusing on CBM and with any luck this
stock might do half as well as Ultra Petroleum did for us ($1.30 to $65).

The stock chart may look like the stock has already seen a substantial move but the company is still only valued at C$30 million and I would expect we could easily see $4 to $5 with this stock in the next 6 months and maybe sooner, depending how quickly SME moves to acquire other projects and what stage of development they are at.

The recent acquisition in Campbell county, Wyoming is such a project that could easily be developed further to bring production up to multiples of the current 1 mcf/d. I expect it will take at least 6 to 12 months before we see these production increases, but the stock will likely anticipate these developments as new well test results come in.

finance.yahoo.com Canadian dollar quote

US Symbol: SMEFF
stockhouse.com

Storm Cat Energy
Suite 100 - 521 3rd Avenue, SW
Calgary, Alberta Canada T2P 3T3
Telephone 403-261-3605
email info@stormcatenergy.com
Website stormcatenergy.com

Schaefer Newsletter November 18, 2004 stated:

StormCat SME-TSX.V announced an actual production acquisition in the Powder River Basin of Wyoming. I believe this makes StormCat the first and only junior Canadian explorer with actual CBM production.

StormCat bought this property because they believe they can increase production significantly in a relatively short period of time. This property will generate a good deal of cashflow and increased production means increased cashflow. This is just the beginning.

When I first introduced StormCat President Scott Zimmerman to you, I told you he was a company builder. I didn’t say that because it sounded good, I said it because that is what this guy lives and breathes for. He is a company builder. He has the expertise, the knowledge, the contacts, and the experience when it comes to unconventional gas to get the job done.

That’s why I say this is only the beginning for StormCat Energy. This company is going to grow rapidly through both exploration and acquisition.

A year from now we’ll look back and say how lucky we are we were able to get in at $2.00 a share. " END

The Kottmeier Resolution Group
Investor Relations
Phone: Toll Free: 1-87STORMCAT (1-877-867-6228)
Emai: info@stormcatenergy.com

END



To: Brinks who wrote (20051)1/19/2005 7:22:55 PM
From: Brinks  Respond to of 78566
 
On November 9, 2004 I introducted Storm Cat Energy here and outlined the case for it. It was $ 1.44 then and has gone as high as $ 5 and change U.S. and today is at $ 3.93 U.S.

Great chart:

finance.yahoo.com

Following is a summary of another Coalbed Methane Company:
BPI Industries.

For those that do not understand all this just study these two charts---see any break?:

finance.yahoo.com

finance.yahoo.com

EXTRAORDINARY COALBED METHANE OPPORTUNITY-OVER 1 TRILLION CUBIC FEET POTENTIAL

Ride the coattails of 50 accredited investors purchasing $13 million of stock on January 13, 2005 and one of the largest multinational resource companies in the world that signed a letter of intent in December 2004 to JV and who will commit an additional $ 20 million for development. Company has not been on anyone's radar screen. There are TEN KEY reasons listed below of why to consider this Company.

The Company is BPI Industries (TSX-V: BPR U.S. symbol: BPITF).


BPI is an independent natural gas exploration and development company. The Company's focus is on developing and expanding its Coalbed Methane assets in the Illinois Basin. The Company represents a unique opportunity to invest in the development, production and growth of Coalbed Methane in the Illinois Basin.

BPI is developing one of the largest coalbed methane portfolios in the potentially rich Illinois Basin, with a total of 423,000 acres of coalbed methane rights ("CBM acreage") divided into five major properties. The company has the first producing project in the basin, generating 1.2 MCF per day from 29 operating wells. Wells tapping other seams should be online shortly, while 2005 will see drilling activity of 4 to 8 wells per month (close to 100 total). Pipeline crosses all projects, enabling cheaper transport and richer sales margins. High-profile venture partners are coming onboard. Management believes its properties contain more than 1 TRILLION CUBIC FEET of recoverable gas. Immediate goals include acquiring additional CBM acreage (800,000 CBM acreage under negotiation now) and more precisely delineating the existing resource.

Over the last couple years, the Company has grown its CBM acreage almost ten-fold from 43,000 acres to over 423,000 acres today making this one of the largest CBM projects in the U.S. The Gas Research Institute estimates that the Illinois Basin contains gross reserves of approximately 21 trillion cubic feet ("TCF") of natural gas. bpi-industries.com

*****WHY BPI Industries and WHY NOW?

1) Here is the KEY:
The Company believes the potential exists for recoverable reserves exceeding 1 TCF of natural gas from its existing CBM acreage. Why is this key? I estimate that a TCF could equate to a market cap value of anywhere from approximately $ 750 million to $ 1 billion depending on several factors including the price of natural gas. The company's current market cap is approximately $ 73 million. In addition, the Company is in negotiations to acquire an additional 800,000 of CBM acreage, which will only add to the above potential TCF (KEY). Does the Company have a competitive advantage to accomplish the acquisition of additional acreage? Read on.

2) Another KEY:
The Company can acquire additional CBM acreage for as low as $ 1 to $ 2 per acre (some parts are higher) in the Illinois Basin versus for example CBM acreage in the Powder River Basin that costs $ 100+ per acre. This is a substantial competitive advantage operating in the Illinois Basin.

In addition, since the Company is the largest CBM player in the Illinois Basin they have a competitive advantage (being the only producer in the Basin) with Illinois landowners who many times negotiate and receive up to 20% in royalty fees upon production. In addition, differentiating the Company within the Illinois Basin is the fact that it is currently is the only company commercially producing in-seam gas (for landowners this is very important).

3) Another KEY:
There are TWO major gas pipelines that cross ALL of the Company's CBM acres, providing a ready access to markets for future gas production. This is yet another competitive advantage since the Company is able to get its gas production to market in a very cost-effective manner.

4) Another KEY:
The location of the Company's CBM acreage puts it in close proximity to the second highest priced gas market in the US. Therefore the Company's gas marketing contracts net the Company a premium for its gas sales. I've heard as high as 12% higher.

5) Another KEY January 13, 2005:
The Company is not being recommended by any major newsletter. Thus the Company has been under the radar screen. However, because of the January 13, 2005 successful equity offering for $ 13 million among only 50 investors (average investment $ 260,000 per investor!!) this could change. This is extremely impressive since these are most likely sophisticated investors who probably did extensive due diligence. Thus investors can now ride the coattails of such investors with an investment in the Company. In addition, the largest oil and gas investment bankers in Texas, Sanders Morris and Harris assisted the Company in this transaction. Imagine the due diligence this company did on BPI. By the way, the equity offering at $ 1.25 U.S. per share with half warrant at $ 1.50 U.S. per share was oversubscribed beyond the originally contemplated US$10 million. bpi-industries.com This potential change was indicated in December 2004 by James G. Azlein, President "BPI's growth story is still largely unknown within the investment community. We believe that as we now start to raise awareness of the results and potential within BPI, we will be able to unlock the exceptional value in the Company."

6) Another KEY December 2004:
"There's no question. BPI is the largest CBM player in the Illinois Basin. The next 12 months will see the execution of a very aggressive development and drilling schedule. BPI has just today signed a Letter of Intent to enter into a Joint Venture with one of the largest multinational resource companies in the world." James G. Azlein, President of BPI Industries Inc., December 2004 One of the largest multinational resource companies in the world !!!!! This adds tremendous creditability to the Company and its CBM acreage.
wallstreetreporter.com

Once again investors can ride the coattails of one of the largest multinational resource companies in the world. bpi-industries.com

In addition it was stated in the press release, "The International Partner has experience and expertise in coalbed methane development and is currently utilizing and developing innovative drilling techniques that BPI believes are at the forefront of the CBM industry. The letter of intent outlines the basic structure for a 50/50 Joint Venture in all of BPI's Illinois Basin Projects except for the Delta Project and the Illinois Mine Gas LLC projects. The structure calls for a staged investment and development program that will be funded 100% by the International Partner with a total investment of US$20,000,000 over a maximum period of 24 months. From the date of the letter of intent through February 28, 2005 the parties have agreed to negotiate in good faith, complete due diligence, and seek to finalize and sign definitive joint venture agreements before January 31, 2005." Note that January 31, 2005 is almost here!

IMO the January 13, 2005 successful equity placement enhances the probability of this transaction being finalized. This was indicated in the January 13, 2005 press release:

"In addition to the an aggressive drilling schedule for the upcoming year, management is excited and optimistic about successfully completing its current discussions with its potential joint venture partner as well as opportunities to further expand its footprint in the basin." IMO the Company's greatest strength is the terms of the current financing of possibly $ 33 million ($ 13 million equity plus $ 20 million from one of the largest multinational resource companies in the world), Just brilliant! A couple of other CBM public companies have recently done "toxic" debt financings. Just crazy!

7) Another KEY:
The Company uses Halliburton Energy (the world's largest oil & gas services company) and Sproule Associates as part of their management team. There are no better firms in this country. In addition, they hired a former Halliburton Energy employee with extensive Illinois basin expertise. See BPI Expands and Strengthens Its Technical Team bpi-industries.com in addition the Company has an excellent advisory board with extensive CBM expertise.

8) Another Key the timing is right:
As stated in the January 13, 2005 press release it is an opportune time since the Company, with the recent positive events, is on the verge of a transformation: "The successful completion of this financing marks the beginning of BPI's transformation into a fully fledged exploration and production company. We are pleased with the receptivity of investors to our development strategy for BPI's Illinois Basin CBM assets. The capital raised will allow us to aggressively pursue the drilling opportunities on our current projects which have the potential to build meaningful values for our shareholders," said James Azlein, President and CEO

9) Another KEY:
"We expect to initiate production from 15 in-seam wells at the Delta Project and 6 mine gas wells at the Illinois Mine Gas Project any time now. The Company is anticipating both an aggressive testing program and drilling schedule of 4 to 8 wells per month in 2005. Close to 100 wells in 2005. The Jericho Project, the first producing project in the Illinois Basin, currently has a total of 34 wells, 29 of which are in production. Current production is approximately 1.2MMCF per day from one of three potentially productive coal seams, which underlie this project. Permeability from Jericho data seems to indicate commercial viability for the other projects also. The economics on the Jericho Project look very favorable. The website has a model using 40 mcf/d per well and a $4/mcf realized gas price, the payback per well of drilling, completion and infrastructure costs is 1.55 years. This is excellent and since natural gas is north of $ 6.20 the payback is probably sooner.

10) Final KEY:
IMO the Company has a very conservative balance sheet (no long term debt) and has been extremely prudent in its overhead incurred to date. The quarterly financial disclosures are on par with a fully reporting U.S. company. Perhaps better. They are just excellent. They track project expenditures and disclose salaries paid to officers. I have heard that they wish to seek a U.S. listing, either NASDAQ or AMEX. IMO the financials will enhance their chances. See financials here: bpi-industries.com

Company has one of the best CBM company websites:

BPI Industries Inc.
Suite 910, 510 Burrard Street
Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3A8
Phone:604 685-8688
Toll Free:1-800-803-3204
Fax:604 683-1797
Email:info@bpi-industries.com
Website: bpi-industries.com

Where discussed: stockhouse.com

Canadian Quote
stockhouse.com

Quote in U.S. Dollars
stockhouse.com

Shares Outstanding after January, 2005 placement: 40,733,003

Trading history--note low trading volume:

finance.yahoo.com

U.S. symbol: BPITF

Five project summary: bpi-industries.com

Management, Directors and Advisory Board
bpi-industries.com

News releases: bpi-industries.com

Key model showing proforma income from Jericho Project 43,000 acres
bpi-industries.com

Key article to read regarding the company--Wall Street Reporter Magazine
Interview with James G. Azlein, President of BPI Industries Inc., December 2004 "Our primary function as management of BPI is simple; increase shareholder equity."
wallstreetreporter.com

The above information is meant for any due diligence performed. This situation would be considered high-risk high-reward. Please do your own due diligence.

*****Why coalbed methane? Why now? U.S. Natural Gas Crisis

The investment thesis for investing in a coalbed methane company such as BPI:

"North American natural gas markets face a supply crunch that can be met in the near term only by increasing production from unconventional deposits. Production of natural gas from conventional sources in Western Canada and the lower 48 states has peaked, and faces a gradual decline, even as the growth in demand continues. AS A RESULT, NORTH AMERICAN COMPANIES WILL NEED TO EXPLOIT UNCONVENTIONAL SOURCES, SUCH AS COALBED METHANE." Gwyn Morgan, CEO EnCana Corporation

"First the energy sector in general and the natural gas sector in particular are likely to remain two of the strongest investment themes for the foreseeable future. Natural gas prices have been very strong and look to be trending higher." James G. Azlein, President of BPI Industries Inc

Matt Simmons' investment bank, Simmons and Company International, is considered the most reputable and reliable energy investment bank in the world.

When asked if there is a solution to the impending natural gas crisis, Simmons responded:

"I don't think there is one. The solution is to pray. Under the best of circumstances, if all prayers are answered there will be no crisis for maybe two years. After that it's a certainty."

Go listen to this interview or read the excellent book---he believes building multi-billion LGN terminals is absurd because of long term limited supply of world NG and expense involved in transporting and storing. I guess they also make great terrorist targets and no one wants them in their backyard.

High Noon for Natural Gas: The New Energy Crisis
Darley, Julian

click on real player
financialsense.com

Other Reasons:

1) There is no OPEC to solve the North America natural gas supply problem 2) Problem will last for Years since LNG supplies only a tiny portion of US supply and there is no way to ramp up for years. 3) Natural Gas demand by new power plants coming online is skyrocketing-this was a result of a 1998 government report that forecasted ample supply of natural gas for years to come 4) all the reasons listed in the best interview and analysis I've ever seen: An Interview with Andrew Weissman by Bill Powers, Editor Canadian Energy Viewpoint January 4, 2004

financialsense.com

2) The government's national natural gas policy is to hope for warm winter weather and cool summers. This is doomed !

3) Warren Buffett moved on the area in 2001 and now controls approximately 8% of the US natural gas pipelines

Bottom line is there is no solution to solve the North America natural gas supply problem. This is the reason to focus on this area for investment.