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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TimF who wrote (212055)11/19/2004 11:24:55 AM
From: Road Walker  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574060
 
The population growth trend in the US is pretty strong, and that helps to support SS as a viable program. It's just at the margin that SS needs repair.

Projections

Not only does the U.S. have a high growth rate for a developed country at present, but significant population growth likely lies ahead, with or without immigration. Census Bureau "middle series" projections, which assume that the present TFR will remain roughly stable and that net immigration will also remain at the present level of 880,000 per year, call for a total U.S. population of 392 million by 2050: an increase of about 50% over the present number. Furthermore, the population at that time will still be growing by 0.5 percent per year, which is about half the present rate (Fig. 5). Were there no immigration, however, the projected 2050 population would be 310 million (an 18% increase) and the growth rate near zero. In using U.S. projections, it is important to keep in mind that the Bureau's basic assumption is that fertility will remain roughly constant at today's approximately replacement level.


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