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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (22183)11/21/2004 10:40:48 AM
From: loantech  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Darfott,

I think you are wise to be in energy. For what ever reason I got into the gold stocks 5-6 years ago and lost my but up until the run in late 2001.

Energy makes a lot more sense as we need oil and NG. I am unsure if we really need gold though some say using it as a currency base may keep central bankers under control. But oil and NG are finite and with the world the way it is it seems like a sure bet. Producing areas are unsafe and a lot of growth world side up it goes. <g>

I just know very little about investing really. I follow Claudes' picks and made good money on some old names like HM before and during the TO, HL old silver and RIC a conservative gold stock. All bought at way oversold levels in early 2002.

<PF up 350% + last 3 years> Almost all pure luck on picks and lucky on some timing.Most important thing as you say is recognize a time to sell and get out and walk away. And that I will do before many. I am not waiting for $2,000 gold or even $32,000.00 gold. LOL.

<(although when i hear Richard Russell is bullish i start running). >>>>>>>>> Isn't he sort of a perma bull like I have been? But I hear you, when the drum beating gets really loud it is time to sell. We may be close like you say. I own CC's drilling plays so maybe some results will out weigh market trends.

<the anti-USD trade seems to be reaching another extreme>

That is a big 10-4. Hey you sound pretty sharp and I am getting tired of all this should I hire you as PF manager? <g>

Best to you Mr. D.



To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (22183)11/21/2004 11:46:34 AM
From: russwinter  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 110194
 
Pretty close to my views on things too. Tom's (loantech) approach is viable, just have to construct an approach to your own style and personality. I just feel it's nice to have real firepower and cash on hand for true buying opportunities like late last spring, just me. I have always been generally constructive and bullish towards PMs, probably more so than even energy, but mostly that's because my personal "institutional knowledge" about precious metals stocks is higher. In otherwords I'm more confident about what I'm doing in that sector, as I've been at it for awhile. The downside however, is that I've also learned what dogs (primarily managements) most of these companies are, so when the larger anti-USD trade goes to extreme (defined as fund/specs pile ons and offside trades, something that has to be SWAGed)then I get nervous holding these stocks. My advise for those who choose to maintain good exposure in PM stocks: keep some dry powder, and of the names you hold, stick with more liquid names, that might also be subject to a long overdue munch (takeover). Right now I see three high profile juniors where that could happen: GBU.to, CLG, and MNG. I'm also playing NTO (mostly copper, some gold) aggressively right now, and still have my full copper future position. Of course if gold corrects these stocks may sell off hard, so don't whine after the fact, just step up and buy full positions instead. The junior that has the superior management (know and have worked and met with them personally) is AGI.to (Alamos). AGI has had a well deserved run, and I'm now out on a price basis. In theory I consider myself a long term holder and I'm always looking for reentries (such as the one at 1.90 in May) to get back in. AGI will likely be getting an Amex listing before long as well.