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To: Sam Citron who wrote (9447)11/22/2004 7:04:13 PM
From: Alastair McIntosh  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 13403
 
O.T. Sam, the reason for choosing a strike near the current price is a matter of my perception of risk. For example, had I chosen to sell the 25 strike puts and calls (for about $14) and the data had been perceived as positive the stock could easily have jumped to $45 which would have resulted in a call price today of over $20 and a large loss. Even a move to $40 would have resulted in a loss as the calls would have been priced at about $15.

I can't conceive of a situation (other than inside information) where it would be wise to not sell the options for a strike close to the current stock price.

As far as timing goes, I did not expect trial results so early. I expected to pocket some time premium over a couple of weeks. However, the drop in implied volatility today worked for me.

As you noted, a big factor is the timing of trial results or FDA approval decisions. Some information is here:

thestreet.com