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To: Amy J who wrote (124348)	11/30/2004 11:22:25 AM
From: Henry Niman	Respond to of 208838

>>It's interesting to learn that it was actually 15%. << It was always 15%. All you had to do is take the number dead and divide by the number dead and discharge. the rate was about 15% for Toronto, Singapore, and Hong Kong. Hanoi was lower (but the number of cases was low). Taiwan was higher, but then they started cremating patients before SARS could be confirmed and they generated an artificially low number. China was all over the map. They started very low (5 of 305) and this low number held down the worldwide rate. Then China went very high (approaching 30%), and then ended very low (probably many hospitalized at the peak didn't have SARS or China had a less virulent version that spread widely in China).