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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Taikun who wrote (56754)12/2/2004 12:08:32 AM
From: NOW  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
the response to this should be for them to devalue?



To: Taikun who wrote (56754)12/2/2004 12:27:24 AM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
The larger companies will have hedged, but the hedges will run out - most affordable hedges run about 1 year to 18 months.

Most smaller manufacturing companies find hedging expensive, complicated and risky. I would guess that today you would need sales over 200 million before it would be a priority.

Companies with high gross margins, > 35%, tend to not hedge, and just eat the fluctuation.

Distributors and import/export firms with thinner margins will do much more hedging, making it part of their basic business. They will also have shorter term contracts.

***********

This will put the Eurozone between a rock (price stability goals, Euro as a store of value) and a hard place - loss of manufacturing jobs to the North America-Asia dollar block, decrease in economic growth rates.

Of course, the Europeans can always buy treasury bills ;-)